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<blockquote data-quote="Mercurius" data-source="post: 6383449" data-attributes="member: 59082"><p>I don't know if it is as much gut feeling as it is conjecture and extrapolation; either way, the answer is "no, not really." <img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite2" alt=";)" title="Wink ;)" loading="lazy" data-shortname=";)" /></p><p></p><p>But I think [MENTION=3400]billd91[/MENTION] brings up some good points, that there are different cohorts, different generations in which a group came into the game. So we can look at the largest cohort as being those that started in the late 70s to mid-80s, the "D&D Boomers." Presumably there was another cohort in the 90s, but I think it was significantly smaller (plus that's when White Wolf was really popular, so a lot of gamers were going in that direction).</p><p></p><p>Then we have another cohort with 3E and seemingly one with 4E as well. </p><p></p><p>This is where my extrapolation comes in. For the last 2 years there has been no actively supported form of D&D. For the last 3-4 years, D&D's popularity has been dropping, and a large number of folks starting up went into Pathfinder rather than 4E. I'm guessing that we're skipping a half generation, which is why I think there are fewer players in the 10-20 range than 20+. This could change in the next few years, if 5E is successful.</p><p></p><p>Of course it also depends upon what we're talking about - D&D by tight definition (logo), the D&D family (including Pathfinder, OSR, etc), or RPGs as a whole. I think we'd see different trends with all three definitions.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>Well you might be right. But in a void of real research all we can go on is extrapolation and conjecture.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>True! In my group of seven, I'm the only one who posts on EN World, or who really spends any time outside of the play session thinking about RPGs. Woe is me. But I think that's why we see a relatively broad separation between "casual" and "serious" gamers. It is a spectrum, but there's a relatively distinct gap between "casual" and "serious." A few of my players could be considered "casual plus," but they're still far closer to casual than serious.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Mercurius, post: 6383449, member: 59082"] I don't know if it is as much gut feeling as it is conjecture and extrapolation; either way, the answer is "no, not really." ;) But I think [MENTION=3400]billd91[/MENTION] brings up some good points, that there are different cohorts, different generations in which a group came into the game. So we can look at the largest cohort as being those that started in the late 70s to mid-80s, the "D&D Boomers." Presumably there was another cohort in the 90s, but I think it was significantly smaller (plus that's when White Wolf was really popular, so a lot of gamers were going in that direction). Then we have another cohort with 3E and seemingly one with 4E as well. This is where my extrapolation comes in. For the last 2 years there has been no actively supported form of D&D. For the last 3-4 years, D&D's popularity has been dropping, and a large number of folks starting up went into Pathfinder rather than 4E. I'm guessing that we're skipping a half generation, which is why I think there are fewer players in the 10-20 range than 20+. This could change in the next few years, if 5E is successful. Of course it also depends upon what we're talking about - D&D by tight definition (logo), the D&D family (including Pathfinder, OSR, etc), or RPGs as a whole. I think we'd see different trends with all three definitions. Well you might be right. But in a void of real research all we can go on is extrapolation and conjecture. True! In my group of seven, I'm the only one who posts on EN World, or who really spends any time outside of the play session thinking about RPGs. Woe is me. But I think that's why we see a relatively broad separation between "casual" and "serious" gamers. It is a spectrum, but there's a relatively distinct gap between "casual" and "serious." A few of my players could be considered "casual plus," but they're still far closer to casual than serious. [/QUOTE]
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