NOW LIVE! Today's the day you meet your new best friend. You don’t have to leave Wolfy behind... In 'Pets & Sidekicks' your companions level up with you!

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Message: <blockquote data-quote="NotAYakk" data-source="post: 8093672" data-attributes="member: 72555">Is that a certain  hit?  Let's see!Suppose your foe has 21 AC (plate+shield+defensive style).  A bit high, but let's test it.Your attack roll is +6, so your target number is 15.No boost hit chance, just advantage, is 51%.With FbtG, your chance is 64% auto-hit with FbtG, 6% miss by 3 (15/16 hit), 5% miss by 4 (13/16 hit), 5% miss by 5 (10/16 hit), 4% miss by 6 (6/16 hit), 4% miss by 7 (3/16 hit), 3% miss by 8 (1/16 hit), 9% wiff.Total hit chance is 79%.Now add in your reroll attempt.  FbtG on the 2nd swing boosts hit chance from 51% to 79%.  Saving FbtG on a first roll miss is worth it if the boost on the 2nd attack is larger than the gain on the first.You want to take the FbtG bonus on first attack if (FbtG chance) + (1-FbtG chance)*51% > 79%. 49% * FbtG chance + 51% > 79%.49% * FbtG chance > 28%. FbtG > 9/16.So you'll use FbtG bonus on first hit if you miss by 5 or less.64% hit, 13% FbtG hit, 3% burned FbtG and missed, 20% missed and saved FbtG.This works out to about a 5% miss chance; about 4% of the time you missed, saved FbtG, then made an attack, and FbtG didn't help.  1% of the time you missed by 1-5, used FbtG, missed anyhow, then missed on second attack.---However, a level 3 bear totem barbarian with 14 con has 33 HP and resist necrotic.  They take your punch.  They can even take 2.---Your sleep combo doesn't really help.  Burn an action for 31.5 KO; that is going to fail more often on any target that 30.5 doesn't drop than is worth it.  And the failure mode is wasted spell, while the inflict failure mode is "target mostly dead".</blockquote>

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