At this point, I don't think we're kidding anyone anymore with the sblocks. If someone has something that absolutely must remain private, please e-mail me or send a PM (if you're ENWorld-enabled to do so).
Didn't I include the Disguise check? If not, I'm sorry. I keep a running tally on a paper notebook at my desk. Writing everything down as I roll it helps me stay organized. When I wrote the post, I thought I'd included everything that I rolled, but I guess I left out the other half of the check. Taran got a roll of 12. With a +10 to Disguise, his total is 22.
Elyra got a roll of 15. With a +8 to Perception, her total is 23. Now that I think of it, I believe I may have used Elyra's +10 to Perception for a total of 25, but that's versus goblinoids, not versus collies. Even with the +8 to Perception, Elyra's 23 still beats Taran's 22.
I'll check my last IC post and amend it to include whatever I seem to have missed. I shall leave it to the two of you to work it out in the IC how you deem best. There's a lot of dust in the air in the festival square. Taran could use that to try to discount Elyra's Perception check. That, and most normal folk don't have the whopping Perception ability that Elyra has--most folk would think she's nuts just by her trying to say she's seen something from a distance, even without the dust in the air.