I suspect a larger factor is there were more CURRENT players at the release of 5e 2024 than had been the case at the release of any prior edition. E.g., the initial sales of 2e reflected how many people were playing AD&D at the time, more than they reflected how much people liked 2e (which by definition they didn’t know), and on down the line with each new PHB.
Interesting that your assumption is that new editions are automatically an “upgrade” and that the default is everyone getting the latest.
Disagree with the “upgrade” terminology, as I think some new editions were worse than their predecessor.
But the assumption that most 5e 2014 tables will (eventually) switch to 5e 2024 I would guess is correct.
Part of it is a large majority of 5e players never experienced an edition change, so they were not burned by a past one. Part of it is marketing that it’s an “upgrade” and not a change. Part of it is D&D Beyond. And part of it is the perception that you need to keep up with the latest.
Actual content I suspect is a very minor factor in 2014 to 2024 change or don’t change decisions.
For the 5e group I am player in (as opposed to 3.5e I DM), the DM decided on 2014 for now because some PC’s aren’t supported in the new rules.
For the new group starting next weekend, the first time DM has played 3.5e (with me) and 5e 2014 (at school), and was trying to decide between 3.5e, 2014, and 2024. She choose 3.5e for preference over 5e reasons, but also just because 5e is in transition with changes coming, so it seemed simpler to go with a fully baked unchanging rule set - 3.5e original 3 core books.
Agree.