Nyeshet said:Just a quick question. Which of their languages? Granted, China has an official form of chinese (mandarin) commonly in use, but in practice each region and sometimes even sub-region of the land has its own version of chinese - some of which are completely unintelligible with each other, to the point of being considered separate languages instead of dialects of a single language, such as Cantonese and Mandarin.
True, they have a common writing system, but I do not see the rest of the world adopting the chinese writing system so as to better understand chinese. It is just too complicated. Recent studies even showed that of the several areas in the brain used for language comprehension, one of them is actually different for chinese speakers when reading their language. This is not even taking into account the vast number of characters and the difficulty for swift typing on a keyboard made for using such. I have difficulty imagining such a keyboard in realistic sizes, actually.
As for India, there is no common indian language. Instead there are about a half dozen or so official languages - one of which is English (perhaps due to the fact that the British were in charge until a bit over a half century ago or so). Thus English has an edge even there. Note, incidentally, that Chinese teach English in their schools. I can't recall if it is mandatory or not, although I know that in Japan it is often mandatory at the High School level if the student is persuring a Liberal Arts degree (in which case Chinese and I think ancient Chinese are also mandatory - or perhaps that's only at some schools?).
In all honesty, I'm not sure which version of Chinese. Perhaps one will eventually be selected. I think a common misconception I see is that English, and western culture will be dominant forever, whereas history has shown that all empires go through rises and declines over time. In North America we've got lower birth rates, rising costs, gradually slowing economies, declining competitive edges in sectors other than the service industry, and China's star is on the rise. They may be learning English over there right now, because it's a smart thing to do when you're playing catch up. But when they've surpassed the U.S., Canada, Britain, etc. the incentive will no longer be there. I think that it might be another 30-40 years before we really start to see that impact, but I think it's going to happen.
As to Indian, you raise a valid point. They do have a well-established history as part of the British Empire, and English is established there. I think Chinese is the most likely eventual lingua franca of the 21st century. Maybe they'll end up using the same alphabet used by the romance languages and English, but applied to the Chinese language. Who knows?
Banshee