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will 4.0 succeed?
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<blockquote data-quote="Dannyalcatraz" data-source="post: 4226194" data-attributes="member: 19675"><p>1) I think the 4Ed rollout was been a little too quiet at first, and that led to a bit more resentment & paranoia than you'd normally see in the target market.</p><p></p><p>2) While the online press leaks have generally been pretty good, I don't care for the preview books at all. In all honesty, though, that is more as a roleplayer (who is wondering how accurate that prerelease stuff can be) than as a cool-headed and impartial analyst.</p><p></p><p>Still, if too much changes between the release of the preview books and the release of the real thing, some players might just feel burned at that extra $$$ WotC milked out of them, and that could lead to backlash.</p><p></p><p>And even without a backlash, that money expended on previews is, by necessity, going to detract from sales of subsequent WotC releases, since no gamer (that I know) has effectively infinite resources. That could mean that certain products simply don't do as well.</p><p></p><p>3) The delay of the GSL has also cooled the 3rd party reception, and has effectively forced some to "choose sides" in a competition that is on WotC's terms. I don't think there is much actual bad blood, but I know that some of the 3rd party publishers are definitely not pleased with what the delay will do to their schedule.</p><p></p><p>If you're small enough a publisher, the GSL's delay could mean the difference between continued operations and shutting down the company. The same could happen even to larger companies if they "back the wrong horse" when deciding which edition to support.</p><p></p><p>4) Ultimately, only time will tell if WotC jumped the gun in releasing 4Ed when 3.X is still so popular. If WotC's market research is too far off, 3.X (especially in the form of its offshoots) could continue to command significant market share and possibly even seriously damage 4Ed's long-term sales prospects (a long shot, to be sure).</p><p></p><p>5) I don't think you'll see a big marketing presence on radio or TV like you once did with M:tG or some videogames or even the 30th Anniversary hooplah. There isn't that kind of money floating around right now, and this is just another RPG revision- there's no special history attached to it (...yet).</p><p></p><p>Anything you're likely to see in non-gamer media outlets will be op-ed pieces or personal endorsements by gamer celebs like Colbert.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dannyalcatraz, post: 4226194, member: 19675"] 1) I think the 4Ed rollout was been a little too quiet at first, and that led to a bit more resentment & paranoia than you'd normally see in the target market. 2) While the online press leaks have generally been pretty good, I don't care for the preview books at all. In all honesty, though, that is more as a roleplayer (who is wondering how accurate that prerelease stuff can be) than as a cool-headed and impartial analyst. Still, if too much changes between the release of the preview books and the release of the real thing, some players might just feel burned at that extra $$$ WotC milked out of them, and that could lead to backlash. And even without a backlash, that money expended on previews is, by necessity, going to detract from sales of subsequent WotC releases, since no gamer (that I know) has effectively infinite resources. That could mean that certain products simply don't do as well. 3) The delay of the GSL has also cooled the 3rd party reception, and has effectively forced some to "choose sides" in a competition that is on WotC's terms. I don't think there is much actual bad blood, but I know that some of the 3rd party publishers are definitely not pleased with what the delay will do to their schedule. If you're small enough a publisher, the GSL's delay could mean the difference between continued operations and shutting down the company. The same could happen even to larger companies if they "back the wrong horse" when deciding which edition to support. 4) Ultimately, only time will tell if WotC jumped the gun in releasing 4Ed when 3.X is still so popular. If WotC's market research is too far off, 3.X (especially in the form of its offshoots) could continue to command significant market share and possibly even seriously damage 4Ed's long-term sales prospects (a long shot, to be sure). 5) I don't think you'll see a big marketing presence on radio or TV like you once did with M:tG or some videogames or even the 30th Anniversary hooplah. There isn't that kind of money floating around right now, and this is just another RPG revision- there's no special history attached to it (...yet). Anything you're likely to see in non-gamer media outlets will be op-ed pieces or personal endorsements by gamer celebs like Colbert. [/QUOTE]
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