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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Zil" data-source="post: 4226595" data-attributes="member: 20004">I really can't see this.  I just went through a few hours trying to help some old friends who last played only 1E up to 3E and they had problems with even little things like the ability scores being in a different order than in 1E.   I just couldn't see convincing them to try something even farther removed from the 1st edition base they are familiar with.  No, I suspect that most of the 1E/2E players out there will stay where they are because they are comfortable there.  The people who will switch are more active players of the 3.x/OGL sphere who are keen to stay with the current version, no matter where it goes.As for whether 4E will succeed, it all depends on how success is being measured.  I'm pretty sure it will sell well enough early on when all those excited by it (or just curious) rush out and buy it, but deep down I don't think that it will sell as well in the long run when compared to 3E in terms of number of books.  Will it be enough to keep Hasbro happy?  We can't really say for sure because we don't know what type of returns on investment they are expecting or require.  It'll be interesting to see if they can lure in the MMORPG crowd.    I think that will be critical for them because in my gut I think the existing D&D space is going to be quite a bit more fractured with clusters playing 1E/2E or 3E/Pathfinder or 4E so they are probably going to need new blood to get the returns they are hoping for.</blockquote>

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