You left off the option for people that will not buy 4E unless it is guaranteed to be closed. Also your interpretation "do you want 307 actual sales or do you want 461?" is laughable and unscientific. It is obvious that there is a huge market for a fresh outlook on an old RPG system, one that transcends people that read this board.
If they can get 1% of WoW players to buy the 4E core books, mission accomplished from a profit standpoint. And if the game continues to be polluted by nickel-and-dime 3rd party publishers putting out crap like they did for 3E, the damage to the brand could prove irreparable.
If they can get 1% of WoW players to buy the 4E core books, mission accomplished from a profit standpoint. And if the game continues to be polluted by nickel-and-dime 3rd party publishers putting out crap like they did for 3E, the damage to the brand could prove irreparable.