Yaarel
🇮🇱 🇺🇦 He-Mage
According to ‘hard’ science, here are some predictions in play.
Around 2025, a personal computer will be as intelligent as a human, can speak naturally and emotionally, and will pass the Turing test.
The following is the technology that will be available in 2029. Thus it describes what human culture will be like around 2035.
• A personal computer is 1000 times (!) more powerful than the human brain.
• The vast majority of computation is done by computers and not by human brains.
• Further progress has been made in understanding the secrets of the human brain. Hundreds of distinct sub-regions with specialized functions have been identified. Some of the algorithms that code for development of these regions have been deciphered and incorporated into neural net computers. Massively parallel neural nets, which are constructed through reverse-engineering the human brain, are in common use.
• [Human brain simulations are possible.]
• [Many humans ‘upgrade’ their own brain to keep up with the acceleration of intelligence.]
• The eyeglasses and headphones that used to deliver virtual reality are now obsolete thanks to computer implants that go into the eyes and ears. The implants are either permanent or removable. They allow direct interface with computers, communications and Internet-based applications. The implants are also capable of recording what the user sees and hears. Computer implants designed for direct connection to the brain are also available. They are capable of augmenting natural senses and of enhancing higher brain functions like memory, learning speed and overall intelligence. Direct brain implants allow users to enter full-immersion virtual reality—with complete sensory stimulation—without any external equipment. People can have their minds in a totally different place at any moment. This technology is in widespread use.
• [Telepathy via brain-to-brain networks is a common mode of communication.]
• Most communication occurs between humans and machines as opposed to human-to-human.
• By scanning the enormous content of the Internet, some computers "know" literally every single piece of public information [every scientific discovery, every book and movie, every public statement, etc.] generated by human beings. Computers are now capable of learning and creating new knowledge entirely on their own and with no human help.
• [Discoveries and inventions in every field of science and medicine accelerate.]
• The rise of Artificial Intelligence creates a real "robot rights" movement, and there is open, public debate over what sorts of civil rights and legal protections machines should have. The existence of humans with heavy levels of cybernetic augmentation and of larger numbers of other people with less extreme cybernetic implants lead to further arguments over what constitutes a "human being." Although computers routinely pass the Turing Test, controversy still persists over whether machines are as intelligent as humans in all areas. Artificial Intelligences claim to be conscious and openly petition for recognition of the fact. Most people admit and accept this new truth.
• Non-biological intelligence combines the subtlety and pattern recognition strength of human intelligence, with the speed, memory, and knowledge sharing of machine intelligence. Non-biological intelligence will continue to grow exponentially whereas biological intelligence is effectively fixed in its rate of growth.
• The manufacturing, agricultural and transportation sectors of the economy are almost entirely automated and employ very few humans.
• Across the world, poverty, war and disease are almost nonexistent thanks to technology alleviating want.
• [No more war? That is truly difficulty to imagine.]
The ‘singularity’ is estimated to occur around 2045. This is when computers that are much smarter than humans, design and build other computers. Then these new computers will build even smarter computers, and those ones even smarter ones. This is an ‘explosion of intelligence’. It is literally impossible to guess what these future generations of computers might be like, or what they will do. Or what the world will be like because of them.
Everything from internet, to medicine, to nanobots, hardware, wetware, phones, genetic engineering - genetic engineering! human speciation! - all of these scientific endeavors are accelerating faster and faster. There are profound - species altering - events that will take place within decades. Concepts that were science fiction - concepts that were the wildest trippiest messianic dreams - appear to be materializing in front of our eyes.
This is just the beginning. From then on, it gets even weirder. Faster.
Remember when the internet seemed to shop up out of nowhere?
Around 2025, a personal computer will be as intelligent as a human, can speak naturally and emotionally, and will pass the Turing test.
The following is the technology that will be available in 2029. Thus it describes what human culture will be like around 2035.
• A personal computer is 1000 times (!) more powerful than the human brain.
• The vast majority of computation is done by computers and not by human brains.
• Further progress has been made in understanding the secrets of the human brain. Hundreds of distinct sub-regions with specialized functions have been identified. Some of the algorithms that code for development of these regions have been deciphered and incorporated into neural net computers. Massively parallel neural nets, which are constructed through reverse-engineering the human brain, are in common use.
• [Human brain simulations are possible.]
• [Many humans ‘upgrade’ their own brain to keep up with the acceleration of intelligence.]
• The eyeglasses and headphones that used to deliver virtual reality are now obsolete thanks to computer implants that go into the eyes and ears. The implants are either permanent or removable. They allow direct interface with computers, communications and Internet-based applications. The implants are also capable of recording what the user sees and hears. Computer implants designed for direct connection to the brain are also available. They are capable of augmenting natural senses and of enhancing higher brain functions like memory, learning speed and overall intelligence. Direct brain implants allow users to enter full-immersion virtual reality—with complete sensory stimulation—without any external equipment. People can have their minds in a totally different place at any moment. This technology is in widespread use.
• [Telepathy via brain-to-brain networks is a common mode of communication.]
• Most communication occurs between humans and machines as opposed to human-to-human.
• By scanning the enormous content of the Internet, some computers "know" literally every single piece of public information [every scientific discovery, every book and movie, every public statement, etc.] generated by human beings. Computers are now capable of learning and creating new knowledge entirely on their own and with no human help.
• [Discoveries and inventions in every field of science and medicine accelerate.]
• The rise of Artificial Intelligence creates a real "robot rights" movement, and there is open, public debate over what sorts of civil rights and legal protections machines should have. The existence of humans with heavy levels of cybernetic augmentation and of larger numbers of other people with less extreme cybernetic implants lead to further arguments over what constitutes a "human being." Although computers routinely pass the Turing Test, controversy still persists over whether machines are as intelligent as humans in all areas. Artificial Intelligences claim to be conscious and openly petition for recognition of the fact. Most people admit and accept this new truth.
• Non-biological intelligence combines the subtlety and pattern recognition strength of human intelligence, with the speed, memory, and knowledge sharing of machine intelligence. Non-biological intelligence will continue to grow exponentially whereas biological intelligence is effectively fixed in its rate of growth.
• The manufacturing, agricultural and transportation sectors of the economy are almost entirely automated and employ very few humans.
• Across the world, poverty, war and disease are almost nonexistent thanks to technology alleviating want.
• [No more war? That is truly difficulty to imagine.]
The ‘singularity’ is estimated to occur around 2045. This is when computers that are much smarter than humans, design and build other computers. Then these new computers will build even smarter computers, and those ones even smarter ones. This is an ‘explosion of intelligence’. It is literally impossible to guess what these future generations of computers might be like, or what they will do. Or what the world will be like because of them.
Everything from internet, to medicine, to nanobots, hardware, wetware, phones, genetic engineering - genetic engineering! human speciation! - all of these scientific endeavors are accelerating faster and faster. There are profound - species altering - events that will take place within decades. Concepts that were science fiction - concepts that were the wildest trippiest messianic dreams - appear to be materializing in front of our eyes.
This is just the beginning. From then on, it gets even weirder. Faster.
Remember when the internet seemed to shop up out of nowhere?
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