You have 20 AC (plate+shield).Is it the same thing for the DC to the attack roll in the case of attack against AC?
Enemy has +5 strength and +4 proficiency.
They hit on an 11+, so 50% chance.
If we set their DC to 10+5+4 = 19, and our defence as +10, we defend in a 9+, so 60% chance. One of them needs to move by 2.
Either the attack DC is 12+Modifier, or our Defence modifier is AC-12. As adding 12 is easier than subtracting by 12, I'd make it attack DC is 12+Modifier. OTOH, you calculate your Defence modifier once, while the DM has piles of monsters to convert on-the-fly to attack DCs, so maybe it should be Defence modifier.