What Does a "Successful" RPG Look Like?


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#2 would disqualify Pathfinder and Call of Cthulhu from being successful in my neck of the woods, and you'd think people are still only playing 3E D&D.
So my library actually has a good amount of Pathfinder, but so too does my local used bookstore - what they both don't have are D&D materials. I actually think it's kind of a function of some folks wanting to purge stuff from their collections and this is where they're ending up.
 



Not at all! My goal was to bring up the conversation because I knew there were people out there who benchmark every RPG against D&D -- which is an impossible benchmark to make. So now we get to recognize the fallacy of that idea and find out what actually makes a successful RPG.

Alphastream did a fantastic deep dive into D&D using Bookscan and has since said that since changing distributers, bookscan data is a poor indicator of WOTC's sales.

If you disagree, please show me complete D&D 2024 sales data.
IME business success is always going to be measured by sales and profits. Paizo actually topped WotC by making Pathfinder the #1 selling ttrpg in spring 2011, fall 2012, spring 2013, fall 2013, and summer 2014. So beating D&D is anything but impossible. You just have to make a game people want to play more than D&D. If Paizo can do it, almost anyone can(y)
 


  • Does it show up on (and stay on) various online "looking for players" / "looking for games" sites?,
  • Can I see games played using this system at conventions?
  • Does the publisher continue to publish material for it?,
  • Are other publishers publishing material for it?,
  • Is there a healthy community of GMs and creators regularly talking about it somewhere?,
These five things are the main criteria to me.
 

I have three metrics for success.

Commercially: Did it make break even?

Design wise: Can I see myself running or playing this over using Fate, GURPS, D&D 5e, or the nearest existing PbtA game?

Socially: Three years after release is anyone in my extended gaming network running or even talking about it?
 



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