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At the same time others prefer to publish not as 3pp but to develop and publish their own games to the hobby -or older games.

Well consumers are conditioned to react with their feedback in the ever reaching marketing campaigns-propaganda environment they are carpet bombed with all the time. But I see what you are saying. I really do. I blame it on today's nature of doing business.

I see. I could think this behavior exists because today the customer does not see nor understands the labor behind publishing a product the same way as he understands the labor behind some good marketing or developing a good product. Having said that I am curious about the potential of POD and...

Ok, let me retry by quoting your own words. When people communicate this the tactic of every one side. Communication is open. This is why marketing works and this is why true democracy is considered the political ideal. There is no such thing as direct knowledge in today's business-industry...

Because it is also impossible to really know if 4e is going strong and yet people say so. Marketing is a reality that comes to fill the gaps of knowledge. But if one does marketing expect some people to question and rightly so. In the end this is how democracy works too.

Gain momentum and build up of your fan base. Success is highly dependent and connected to this it seems. It is always a work in progress -a dynamic wave. The consumer base is limited but open at the same time. So each one tries to stay the course when he can.

You have gone way too far in the other side of the fence right now ;)

Honestly the show is put up by the publisher's side in this case. If there is a demand there will be some offer at least. Of course too much offer will create a crash : enter OGL bloat. After the crash things need some time to settle, of course. Orcus said that 4e failed to create the initial...

When Orcus posts to a D&D 3pp community and creates a feeling of doubt about the viability of 3pp and thus their relevance in the hearts of the fans Joe Goodman has to rise the consumer morale, hasn't he? Seriously why did he make his only comment only right now? Wouldn't this support my...

The most potentially dangerous avenue is this one you are talking about. Why would Joe Goodman make a post like this? He has made himself an opening and he is rushing to take advantage of it. To judge things you must not listen the stories of one or the other but try to spot the battlefield...

It's different. 3e was less focused. Moreover this breadth was actually exploited with the OGL "movement". This breadth may also create illusions, for example regarding the heaviness of the game since you know you have the possibility to model it. And at this point it is irrelevant if it is in...

Which leaves him as the de facto 3pp for 4e. Moreover his major competition for customer share is Paizo, not Wotc because Paizo is holding a share from his potential market.

Will D&D gamers be hooked on 4e for more than 2-3 years at most? Cause it is a pretty focused & heavy game.

In the economy and thus in business there are no perfect or ideal solutions. Each decision or choice has a price to pay. Always. Wotc's actions may seem to have caused some harm but the fact is that they were worse first place. Or could have been worse. Regarding 3pp the problem in the end seems...

The rules are already limited by turn-based structure on a grid. I fail to see why the digital factor is so relevant as discussed in this thread here. The virtual table has not even launched. Mutants&Masterminds could use a digital application to help build characters too. If there is some kind...

For a one to one game I would either choose a highly tactical game to pit one versus another or a game that runs on a mysterious plot, the plot's development dependent on the feedback of each player. For a game like this Tribe8 comes to mind.

As long as the setting is dynamic with ever going happenings, potentially groundbreaking but with the right dose of stability anything is fine for me. Illustration themes of the Mayan or ancient Egyptian civilization seem to convey this impression.

In older editions this was settled with the existence of magic weapons-equipment. Balance was achieved around this idea too. Only warrior characters for example could efficiently use the best melee equipment, be it magic or not. Some people may prefer this than the ki solution. Regarding 4e...

The problem is that I do not see Wotc doing this as long as the hardcore base is big enough to support the business strategy they have planned.

I see your point regarding DM fiat of your other post above. But perhaps rules should not be so analytical but rather more synthetic. The more analytic rules the more you will cater to the hardcore base and the more you will go away from attracting new gamers. Fate, as described by resistor...