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Oh, this isn't even my final form. I didn't mention my day job.

I'm well aware the data is selectively provided as part of a corporate information strategy to manage the community and justify decisions to the consumers. Which is one of the reasons it's fun to overanalyze. Especially when someone with insider information pops in to rebut by citing...

Mathematically, a random sample of a few thousand is better than a non-random, bias sample of a few million. A larger -N of a biased sample just leads to a more pronounced bias. Additionally, WoTC's choice to count characters instead of players is, well, interesting. It keeps any of us from...

Publishers only want to make things they know players will buy, but players can only buy what publishers make. It's a game of chicken where the publisher has to risk making something without being sure there's a market for it. Hence market research and data analytics, but it can be tricky if...

I feel like Steve Rogers. "I got that reference." https://economics.fandom.com/wiki/Chicken_game

That's what an information cascade looks like.

3) people don't play at high levels because it's not supported with products in current edition. And by products, I don't mean level 1-20 campaigns, I mean level 10-20 campaigns that are not sequels or continuations of other story arcs. (Ryan Nock, if you are listening, I'm getting to Act II &...

As a social scientist and an epistemologist/philosopher of science, I'll raise you. I'd like to point out this data is not a random sample of D&D players, but rather is biased by the sorts of players D&D Beyond is marketed towards. It's entirely possible that D&D Beyond is less likely to be...

So I'm thinking about the Final Battle on tip of Boorne to close out Act I, and it reminds of something... I'm considering telling my players, "Roll initative. The battle is now in real time. You have until this song ends before Boorne is activated!" And then when Boorne comes online, play...

Ok, thanks. Sorry if you found the title of the thread misleading.

Also, the puzzle maybe acceptable as is. The point is that if the King is the last piece (symbolizing Kell) the door opens. If the Queen is the last peice (Symbolizing Quentin Augst), a secret passage opens. I thought it worked better with the last two peices being the King and Queen next to...

That solution works, and was not what I intended. I'll have to think about it some more. Here is what I wanted to have happen: Knight takes Rook King takes pawn Queen takes bishop Queen takes knight Back to drawing board.

Chess puzzle I designed this morning as a password for opening a door during the Kell-Guild Takedown arc. Ignore the pictures on the 4x4 grid. Rules: 1. Pieces use standard chess moves. 2. Every move has to make a capture. 3. The puzzle is solved when there is one remaining peice. 4. The...

So I haven't kept up with my campaign journal, however, my new party just finished Chapter 4: "Always on Time" and we are starting Chapter 5: "Cauldron Born" today. And, I have newspapers for you! The Risuri Record is the one that Takbar Rhozenk is carrying on the 8th of Spring, 501 AOV during...

Checking in with everyone. I just finished DMing a D&D campaign, and thinking about coming back to this in 5e. Any plans to sell a PDF of Act I in 5e? Or post a consolidated PDF of the player's guide for 5e?

Chapter 4 Newspapers: Orithea Attached is the paper for Orithea.

Chapter 4 Newspapers: Danor I'm fleshing out around 4 Newspapers for Chapter 4: Always on Time. The idea is to try to make a newspaper for each of the major hubs along the Avery Coast Railway, so the players can get a sense of the different cultures and governments along the route. Attached...