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  1. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Fireball/Lightning Bolt vs Chromatic Orb?

    @FrogReaver — I'll go into more detail on my choice of number of dice to reroll. Level 1: You have a total of 3 dice, and can reroll 1, 2, or 3 of them. Depending on DM, you might be able to reroll one at a time, and decide whether to keep rerolling after each one (and this is the more optimal...
  2. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Fireball/Lightning Bolt vs Chromatic Orb?

    Yes, that's accounted for. 14.26% crit chance with Elven Accuracy set. 18. 20 Cha, 4 PB, and +1 from Innate Sorcery. For Empowered Spell, I'm allocating a certain number of reroll dice per bounce. I explained the strategy in this post. For Seeking Spell, it seems I hadn't updated it when I...
  3. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Fireball/Lightning Bolt vs Chromatic Orb?

    Fireball should, on average, get an average of +1.5 per rerolled die that starts in the lower half of the die range (so 1-3 on a d6). Cone of Cold should average +2 per rerolled die since it's using d8s. The number of dice that you can expect to reroll should be 1/2 of the entire dice pool for...
  4. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Fireball/Lightning Bolt vs Chromatic Orb?

    Assuming base accuracy of 70%, and sufficient targets to get max bounces at each spell level. Innate Sorcery active. Lvl CastBase Dmgw/Empower% Gainw/Seeking% Gainw/Elven Acc% Gainw/Emp+Seek% Gain 117.8626.58149%19.88111%20.10113%29.29164% 233.0949.89151%38.10115%38.22115%57.48174%...
  5. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Fireball/Lightning Bolt vs Chromatic Orb?

    Here's a table examining the impact of Empowered Spell on Chromatic Orb, after accounting for the Sage Advice answer that said that you basically get a single pool of dice rerolls for the entire spell, and can't double dip just because you get additional attack/damage rolls. Level CastDiceMax...
  6. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Fireball/Lightning Bolt vs Chromatic Orb?

    From the other thread on the Elemental Adept feat, here's some additional info: Probabilities: Level CastDiceMax BounceBounce %Adept Bounce % 13134.38%41.41% 24258.98%67.77% 35379.49%86.82% 46492.31%96.43% 57598.08%99.52% 68699.76%100.00% And expected number of targets hit...
  7. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Elemental Adept is a Bad Feat. Elemental Damage Vs Radiance Etc

    OK, probabilities: Level CastDiceMax BounceBounce %Adept Bounce % 13134.38%41.41% 24258.98%67.77% 35379.49%86.82% 46492.31%96.43% 57598.08%99.52% 68699.76%100.00% And expected number of targets hit, excluding accuracy: Level CastBase TargetsAdept TargetsGain 11.341.415%...
  8. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Elemental Adept is a Bad Feat. Elemental Damage Vs Radiance Etc

    Yes, though I haven't been able to put together a formulation to get a generic result per number of dice and/or Empowered Spell rerolls yet. For level 1 (3 dice), the bounce chance is 41.4%, compared to 34.4% at default.
  9. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) If Your Builds Not Online By Level 6 Dont Bother?

    The last game I was in, it took about 2 months (8 sessions) per level. So, 3-4 months to make it to level 3, and almost half a year to make it to level 4. (I can't get exact dates because the character notes are in a Fantasy Grounds VTT which isn't up anymore.) I don't think I've ever had a...
  10. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Is it possible to balance the six abilities?

    I'd rework things into five attributes: Physique — Strength, brawn, bulk, endurance, resilience, athleticism, balance. -- Athletics, HP, physical damage, physical resistance Finesse — Dexterity, fine manipulation, misdirection, reaction speed, evasiveness. -- Accuracy, Crits, AC, Initiative...
  11. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Fireball/Lightning Bolt vs Chromatic Orb?

    So, this is a sketchy interpretation of a rules combo, and I could easily see it getting rejected, but it feels like it could maybe work. When Chromatic Orb bounces to a new target, you make a new attack roll against a target within 30' of the last. Could you apply the Spell Sniper feat's range...
  12. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Sage Advice Compendium Updated To 2024

    Does the benefit of the Savage Attacker feat apply to additional effects like the Rogue’s Sneak Attack or the Paladin’s Divine Smite? No. The benefit of Savage Attacker applies only to rolls of the weapon’s damage dice, not to any extra damage that a feature or other ability might grant...
  13. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Draconic Gambler Build. Sorcery Guide

    Yeah, Chromatic Orb absorbed the bounce effect from Chaos Bolt, but not the random damage type. It also improved the bounce chance from Chaos Bolt's version. Chaos Bolt only has 2 d8's that have to match to get a bounce, while the extra d6's it rolls from upcasting don't affect the bounce...
  14. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) D&D 2024 Player's Handbook Errata

    Most of the creatures listed at the back of the PHB are in the SRD under the "Animals" section. Most of those that aren't (Imp, Pseudodragon, Quasit, Skeleton, Sphinx of Wonder, Sprite, Zombie) are in the "Monsters" section. The only ones that appear to be missing entirely are the Octopus and...
  15. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Fireball/Lightning Bolt vs Chromatic Orb?

    I should note that I didn't put much effort into that part of the setup. That's the result of a 55% base accuracy (need to roll a 10 or higher to hit), which is somewhat low, and the code doesn't have any considerations for things like Seeking Spell. It does have advantage, though. Since I...
  16. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Fireball/Lightning Bolt vs Chromatic Orb?

    A valid objection to using average when that average is misleading, but when the potential results are well-distributed, it doesn't really hold. However the point of wanting to know what the distribution looks like is very understandable. The range and shape matters. Here's an Anydice program...
  17. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Fireball/Lightning Bolt vs Chromatic Orb?

    Somewhat true. Rather, it has the potential for hitting more targets, possibly substantially more. Against a zombie horde or a pack of kobolds, etc, there's no real competition. On the other hand, if targets are too spread out, or you're fighting a smaller group of higher level creatures, that...
  18. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Fireball/Lightning Bolt vs Chromatic Orb?

    But, that's what the math is there to help you figure out. The average result includes the chance for you to miss completely, or miss at any point in the chain. I didn't spell it out in the post because the math (and Excel formula) is complicated, but it's very much accounted for. I posted a...
  19. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) 2024 - Do magic weapons bypass resistance now?

    What I would do is something like: A werecreature (or other similar creatures) has regen. It gains (say) 10 HP at the start of each of its turns. It does not regen if it is unconscious. The goal for the players is to reduce the creature to 0 HP, because at that point it is unconscious (not...
  20. Kinematics

    D&D (2024) Fireball/Lightning Bolt vs Chromatic Orb?

    Interesting math on Chromatic Orb. I put together a spreadsheet for lots of combinations of stuff. (Spreadsheet here. Caution: It seems completely broken in Google Docs, which doesn't seem to be able to handle the table syntax. It was made using Excel in Office 365.) On its own, it is, as...
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