I still think they will continue to slide new "styles" into the mix in the same way they did Essentials and Gamma World.
We'll see big changes in the play styles and options available, but what we won't see is a 5 in the title.
You know, this sounds right to me.
I can easily imagine something like a Basic D&D that is a change in playstyle and options, but which can slide into the character builder for others to use as well. Sort of the pre-selected options Mearls is talking about in his blog, sold as a set.
But, if they do this, I hope that they also consider a "combat-lite" option.
There is no DDI VTT (or has this changed?) and the minis are no longer in production (or so I have been told), so gridless, faster combat has no cost to WotC associated with it AFAICT.
What rumbling?
What vineyard? (isn't it more supposed to be grape vine than vineyard?!?)
Picard Vineyard & Winery, of course.
Needless to say, the source was Q, and you shouldn't always believe what he says.
Levity aside, the "rumbling in the vineyard" is pretty well described by delericho upthread. It isn't a specific rumour, so you've nothing to worry about there.
Human beings like to examine the world around them, and attempt to make patterns out of what they see. Sometimes, those patterns are useful. Sometimes, they are not. Both "No way 5e!" and "Hmmm....5e?" are really the same thing....attempting to fit observation into patterns. The truth is, we don't know.
As far as appearing foolish most of the time, well, my status should show you how much that concerns me! "Raven Crowking is both the fool and the fool who follows him". Whichever is more foolish, that's me. No problems there.
AFAICT, there is no confirmed information on WotC's plans for D&D in the future, near or otherwise. Usually, though, confimed information is easier to get. The only times it hasn't been, IME, is before a major shift.
Silence is sometimes louder than words.
Now, some feel (and I have certainly felt) that this silence, combined with other factors, smells like a new edition in the wind. That's a provisional prediction, obviously....no one making it (AFAICT) claims actual prophetic powers!
And, despite it smelling like an edition in the wind, I also agree that 5e now would be potentially disasterous for WotC. But, a semi-edition, like a real "Basic D&D" might actually be a smart move.
(Shrug)
Time will tell. It always does.
RC