Crothian said:
Ya, if we end up with a dozen one lose teams it is going to be a mess. And I think the SEC would win that one.
Err... one-loss, not one lose.
And I have to think it really depends on who's left. The pollsters seem inclined to favor head-to-head winners between teams with the same record.
Out of the ACC, only BC or Wake Forest could come out with one loss. But the ACC's really weak this year; it's really hard to see BC in the title game, and it's just imposible to concieve of Wake there.
In the Big East, it seems like the only way there'd be no udefeated team is if Rutgers, WVU, and L'ville all have one loss.
In the Big Ten, Michigan, err, the OSU/Michigan loser, should have only one loss. And so should Wisconsin, since they don't play OSU and already lost to Michigan.
In the Big 12, Texas and Texas A&M play each other, so only one of them could end up with only a single blemish on their record. And Texas has already lost to Ohio State.
In the Pac 10, USC and Cal will play each other. The computers really like the Pac 10, so if one of them manges to claw their way to #3 or #4 with the voters in a maze of one-loss teams, don't be too surprised if they get the nod.
In the SEC, Arkansas plays Tennessee, which will certainly drop the number of one-loss teams by one. And the SEC championship game might as well. Odds are an SEC team can be eliminated if they're not the SEC champ, because the polls won't favor them.
Notre Dame could be in the mix as well; certainly either they or USC will be out of it with two losses.
And the 'lots of one-loss teams' scenario would raise the question of whether an undefeated Boise State was worth talking about (note that there are no other non-BCS teams with fewer than two losses).