Dark Psion said:
There are still many people who read papers, magazines and other print items. Entertainment mags are not a very good example. Most look exactly alike and TV Guide is failing because it no longer has hardly any TV listings in it.
I really have to revisit this again because I think you haven't thought through what you're saying here.
People adopt technology at different rates and for different reasons. We all know this, we see it everyday in our lives and our work.
Some people are "early adopters". They want all the new gadgets right now, even though they are essentially paying (in some cases a lot) to be Beta testers. God love em, they make things easy on the rest of us.
Some are luddites. They just don't like that new fangled stuff. I had a neighbor who was mad when the phone company essentially took his rotary phone away. The old one worked fine.
In the middle is the vast mass of the rest of us, we make technology decisions on a case by case basis powered by our values and individual circumstance.
For example, I do not currently own a car. I know how to drive and have owned a car for a good portion of my life. But when I started writing full time, which meant I was working from home, the expense of a car didn't add up.
If you knew me, you would know someone who "still doesn't drive a car". Would this be a statement on the efficiency, economic viability and/or prevalence of the car? I don't think so.
Similarly people who are slow to adopt electronic media, or who never will, either because they are simply luddites, or because they have privacy/security concerns or maybe they just find (like me with the car) that a computer and net connection is a meaningless expense
in no way reflect on the fact that over time more and more reading material will be provided electronically and more and more of that reading material will be provided no other way.
For now that's an easy choice to make. We're still in the "horse and buggy" phase of electronic media.
There's still plenty of print media available (we'll call this the equivalent of roads that are not too congested with cars to make riding a horse into town unsafe).
The electronic medium is still in its infancy and thus is often less attractive than print books due to a lack of selection and/or lack or hardware to make them as portable as they could be (we'll call this the low speed/hard to get fuel part of the equation).
But over time, those who don't adopt a powerful technology will limit themselves.
When cars were new, you could still ride a horse, and most things were localized enough that it was easy to get by without one. Then roads became so congested that riding a horse became unsafe in the city, and finally illegal. Then cities began to spread out and become larger, and longer commutes became a way of life for many people.
This doesn't mean that some people won't put up with the extra time it takes to walk or ride a bike or use the bus for some reason. But because they choose not to use a technology, that also doesn't mean that technology won't become increasingly prevalent.
Chuck