ENnies discussion thread

Man alive - this year's race for Ennie Judges is loaded!

The candidates that will win:
Teflon Billy
PC
Crothian

Other likely candidates for remaining two positions:
alsih2o
darkness - two-time judge
joegkushner - judge last year
Cthulhu's Librarian - judge last year

Anyone wonder why few people have tossed their respective hats in the ring lately? You might have better luck running against Putin :lol:
 

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This is not presidential, gubernatorial (mis-spelling intended), senatorial, or any other kind of important voting matter. This is an awards presentation. Make a reasonable attempt to make it work and make it as fair as you can. Debating the systems to death is pointless, pick a system and move ahead with it. Now that I have awakened from reading this stimulating thread I'll move onto a different one.
 

fusangite said:
Conaill said:
3) IRV suffers from some well-known theoretical flaws, such as: - non-monotonicity: voting for your favorite can actually make him lose
Explain how please.
Did you bother to read the example I linked to? Here it is again. Exercise 3 illustrates violation of the Condorcet criterion, exercise 4 violotion of monotonicity. (Yes, what is called "Plurality with Elimination" here is indeed IRV, as you can verify here.)

4) IRV as described is severely biased against "don't know" votes, something I believe we were trying to avoid
You have stated this several times but you have yet to explain why.
Let me try again...

If you omit ranking a candidate in standard IRV, that candidate will *never* get your vote no matter how many other candidates get eliminated. Let's say the ballot contains one great product, one real stinker, and three unknowns. If in any IRV round your favorite gets eliminated, your vote will actually go to the stinker! But it will never, ever go to one of the unknowns. That makes leaving a vote open is worse than ranking it as low as you possibly can. I would call that somewhat biased, wouldn't you?

(In fact, the best way to vote *against* products would be to abstain from voting on them - talk about strategic voting!)

You also need to answer Umbran's question as to why a product about which the majority of voters know nothing should be allowed to beat a product the majority of voters know and use.
I don't believe Umbran ever did ask such an overexaggerated question. But I do believe that under some circumstances it would be fair for a lesser known product with higher votes to beat a more widely known one with lower votes.

If I remember correctly, one of the design criteria for last year's Ennies voting was that lesser known products would not automatically be voted down by "don't know" votes, and that the resulting diversity of winner was quite well received.

Dextra, Morrus - would you be happy with a system where an abstention is equivalent to (or worse than) a down vote?
 
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Wrapping up a few open questions from the sidelines ;)
Dextra said:
The two methods you've been discussing seem to be geared for choosing a single winner.
How do they compare for picking a first and second place?
Pretty much all these methods can easily be adapted to find a second place winner as well. There are two basic approaches:

1) Just pick the candidate that does second best on whatever your method is measuring. In IRV, this could be the second candidate remaining after you've eliminated all but two, or the second-highest votes when the winner gets 50% (not necessarily the same). In Approval Voting, it would simply be the one getting the second most votes.

2) Rerun the system to see who would win if the 1st-place winner wasn't in the race. In IRV, this could produce yet another 2nd-place winner than in the approach described above. In Approval Voting, both approaches will give the same result.

Michael- can either be implemented using our current voting system? Could you program one of those methods? Or would we have to tally votes by hand?
As Michael already stated - if we can dream it up, he can program it.

IRV would require a bit of careful scripting for the interface - need to make sure each product is ranked only once, and each rank is used only once. Implementing, testing and debugging the IRV algorithm itself shouldn't take more than a few hours. Approval Voting can probably be written and tested in under half an hour - interface and all.

omokage said:
I wonder what the drawback would be to rate the votes according to a number of votes to ranking of votes ratio

So if product #1 gets 500 votes and a total score of 1000 and product #2 gets 250 votes and a total score of 500, they'd have an equal ratio and thus are equally rated.
That is very similar in flavor to the system used last year, except with a ranked vote instead of a 1-10 score.

Problem is that in the absence of "don't know" votes, this is actually equivalent to Borda Count, with all the drawbacks that come with that. Good try though!
 

Conaill said:
Did you bother to read the example I linked to? Here it is again. Exercise 3 illustrates violation of the Condorcet criterion, exercise 4 violotion of monotonicity.
What I want you to do is explain these conditions. While Umbran and I can actually explain what we are advocating on this thread and how it works, all we are getting from you is links to web sites advertizing your favourite system. If you cannot actually defend your system in your own words, this indicates a problem to me. Besides, if you actually had to explain the exercise that you are referencing in the context of the ENNies, you would have to construct a model where this highly rare scenario took place with five rather than three candidates -- a far more difficult thing to do because it represents a far more improbable outcome.

Again, what you seem to be doing is favouring a system under all circumstances, regardless of what it is being used to count and the social/political environment in which it is being used.

Finally, I note that you have yet to counter any of my arguments for what happens under your system when people vote strategically. If you are indeed leaving these completely uncontested, I think I have conclusively shown that even if IRV breaks under certain real world conditions, approval voting breaks under far more.
(Yes, what is called "Plurality with Elimination" here is indeed IRV, as you can verify here.)
I wasn't disputing that it was called this on the group's web site. I was disputing that this name was actually descriptive. In order to call it this, you have to falsely describe second, third, fourth, etc. preference votes as essentially not votes or as inferior votes; they are not, as in Borda systems, inferior votes. They are conditional votes under IRV. What I was objecting to was the inaccurate and rhetorical naming of a popular and widely used system.
If you omit ranking a candidate in standard IRV, that candidate will *never* get your vote no matter how many other candidates get eliminated. Let's say the ballot contains one great product, one real stinker, and three unknowns.

If in any IRV round your favorite gets eliminated, your vote will actually go to the stinker!
Why would I rank a product that was terrible? I wouldn't. You seem to assume that people will cast votes with no regard to the strategic outcome of doing so. IRV votes are transferable votes; why would I establish any conditions whatsoever under which my vote would transfer to a bad product?
But it will never, ever go to one of the unknowns. That makes leaving a vote open is worse than ranking it as low as you possibly can. I would call that somewhat biased, wouldn't you?
Not if people vote rationally. You argue that I for some unknown reason I would choose to use my ballot to describe a product that I thought should lose under all conditions a0s my second choice. Why on earth would I do such a thing? If there were only one product on the list about which I had a positive opinion, the rational thing for me to do would be to put a "1" next to it and leave it at that.
(In fact, the best way to vote *against* products would be to abstain from voting on them - talk about strategic voting!)
How is that different from your model? If there are unknowns, why would I give them votes? I would do exactly the same thing I would do under IRV; I would refrain from casting a vote in favour of a product about which I knew nothing. So, just as I would not cast an approval vote for a product I knew was bad, I could not, in good conscience, cast one for a product about which I knew nothing and therefore might be even worse. So, just as under IRV, voting under your system the product would also never ever get my vote. So what's the difference?
I don't believe Umbran ever did ask such an overexaggerated question. But I do believe that under some circumstances it would be fair for a lesser known product with higher votes to beat a more widely known one with lower votes.
This doesn't answer my question. You have somehow established conditions under which a product about which few people know anything can get more votes than a product that many people like. My point is that designing such a system is a foolish thing to do. Fortunately, you have yet to convince me that people will use approval voting in such a way that your desired outcome will even happen.
Dextra, Morrus - would you be happy with a system where an abstention is equivalent to (or worse than) a down vote?
Well, if such a system were unacceptable, you would have to reject Conaill's too. There are only two conditions in his system: voting for something and NOT voting for something. Abstaining in approval voting is, just as under IRV, identical to voting against the product.
 

MavrickWeirdo,

Your example assumes, falsely in my view, that the majority of the voters are not voting strategically. Of course approval voting represents preferences just fine if the majority of people do not vote strategically for their favourite product.

Regardless of whether I myself am a candidate, I vote strategically for my favourite candidate. While IRV outcomes do not change regardless of how many people vote strategically, approval voting results fluctuate wildly depending on how many people vote strategically. So, you are betting that people will not do strategic voting on a large scale.

Finally, I don't think you're fairly representing how real people vote under IRV. Your example is premised on the view that all voters must or will rank all products. This is not what happens in any normal IRV situation. Rational voters are highly unlikely to give their votes to (ie. rank) candidates about which they know nothing or candidates they believe should lose.
 

Michael et al,

We've lost track of the voting system under which the judges will be elected. Are we using multi-member plurality voting, STV, SNTV or something else?
 

pogre said:
Man alive - this year's race for Ennie Judges is loaded!

The candidates that will win:
Teflon Billy
PC
Crothian

Other likely candidates for remaining two positions:
alsih2o
darkness - two-time judge
joegkushner - judge last year
Cthulhu's Librarian - judge last year

Anyone wonder why few people have tossed their respective hats in the ring lately? You might have better luck running against Putin :lol:

I wouldn't be so quick to count out pkitty.
 

fusangite said:
MavrickWeirdo,

Your example assumes, falsely in my view, that the majority of the voters are not voting strategically. Of course approval voting represents preferences just fine if the majority of people do not vote strategically for their favourite product.

In example 1, 55% are voting strategically. In example 2, 50% are voting strategically.
My assumption is that the different strategic voters are evenly divided between the products, which could very well be wrong.

Regardless of whether I myself am a candidate, I vote strategically for my favourite candidate. While IRV outcomes do not change regardless of how many people vote strategically, approval voting results fluctuate wildly depending on how many people vote strategically. So, you are betting that people will not do strategic voting on a large scale.

Finally, I don't think you're fairly representing how real people vote under IRV. Your example is premised on the view that all voters must or will rank all products. This is not what happens in any normal IRV situation. Rational voters are highly unlikely to give their votes to (ie. rank) candidates about which they know nothing or candidates they believe should lose.

In the second example I had the strategic voters put who they though least likely to win to prevent the "Leading Canidate" from winning

The author of "All Crunch, No Fluff" wanted to make sure that, not only did "E" not get his vote (he only voted for three out of 5), but that the least-likely canidate would get his vote instead of E, if "A" is eliminated. Due to multiple people using this strategy the least likely canidate "D" actually won. It depends on Author of "A" seeing "C" as a threat instead of an alternative.
 


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