Exclusive interview WotC President Greg Leeds

I utterly agree. If you're not going to believe what someone says, then why ask them the question in the first place?

Let's turn that around and ask, if the person in question has no interest in telling the truth, but is actually paid to lie if it will increase the profits of the company, why would you automatically take what they say at face value?

The answer to your question is, of course, that he might tell us something that we didn't already know. He didn't do that, but there was always the chance he'd slip up and communicate some information.
 

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Sorry, but no, you can't. End of story.
What, exactly, do you find so difficult about analyzing network traffic?

The ratio has two components: the number of legal pdf purchases and the number of illegal pdf downloads. WotC knows the number of legal purchases with specificity. So the only number they need to determine is the number of illegal copies. The internet is a big place, so they probably only focus on a few p2p networks and major bit torrents. Still, monitoring traffic isn't hard and I wouldn't be surprised there was off the shelf software that does such things. Once they've done that, they have their number.
 

What, exactly, do you find so difficult about analyzing network traffic?

The ratio has two components: the number of legal pdf purchases and the number of illegal pdf downloads. WotC knows the number of legal purchases with specificity. So the only number they need to determine is the number of illegal copies. The internet is a big place, so they probably only focus on a few p2p networks and major bit torrents. Still, monitoring traffic isn't hard and I wouldn't be surprised there was off the shelf software that does such things. Once they've done that, they have their number.

No, it doesn't work that way. WotC can't track all illegal downloads or even get any reliable numbers (or even stand by a 10 to 1 ratio). Its impossible. Its like saying 1 out of every 10 people watch kittens on the internet. It's an impossible statement. Even if you had access to all that information, such as all the bits and bites, that still does not tell you much. The information gets relayed and processed so many times, that you can't get a statistically significant number. Basically, you can say "the numbers point to a 10 to 1 ratio, with a margin for error equal to 20. Even if say, they tracked one illegal download site, they'd have to account for all the syphons on that site that download and re-download (ad infinitum) the same information for other pirate sites. The actual number of downloads actually download by a person, and not a bot or other prog, is likely so much less...possible insignificant. There is no real way of knowing.
 

DonTadow said:
If you're a computer geek, you'd know that that preposterous number is impossible to calculate. You'd have to be monitoring hundreds of bit torrents, ircs, usernets, and hunddredsof pvp file sharing applications. Even then you'd have to pull download statistics for all these and compare them somehow, something not too many of these sites share with out a court order. Even then you'd only get a conservative number. Where the internet began and where it is now are two different things.
It's quite possible to calculate. As with opinion polling, you use a statistical model. You do not attempt to count every download individually.

To everyone saying this isn't reliable, something tells me you aren't particularly knowledgeable on the subject. For example:

Emberion said:
Even if say, they tracked one illegal download site, they'd have to account for all the syphons on that site that download and re-download (ad infinitum) the same information for other pirate sites.
That's not how torrents work. The tracker and, depending on your client, the DHT manage the actual downloading. Where the torrent came from doesn't matter at all, and a million different sites can download a torrent and add it to their collection without registering a single download.
 

I think WotC has responded as they think best to a problem that they are within their rights to attempt to thwart (or at least slow, annoy or reduce the quality of).

I'm not convinced that people downloading the PDF's illegally are lost customers. I think customers prepared to pay, far prefer to have a shiny new book to open, leaf through and smell.

My interpretation is they have a problem. They are buying time to come up with a satisfactory solution. Stop the PDF's, we'll figure another digital solution to keep our fans happy.

As I look at the progress of 4e, I think Wizards has been listening to players complaints, at least to a certain degree without straying too far from the original vision. The Half Orc was scrapped, The Gnome given a hefty boot to the MM; they're back, because they're listening.

Complaints about the sameness of class creation, a weak and limited multi-class system. They respond with concepts like Dhampyr and the Hybrid Class system to spice character creation and flavour up. Work in progress that I'm sure is generated because they're listening, and trying to get people with complaints onto the same train.

I'm sure the logistics of it are not easy. I'm sure not every decision they make will be the best, or the right one. They still have to run a profitable business, and make good on their investment. We are still talking about people, and people inevitably make errors. What would be more worrying would be a complete lack of resolve to amend, correct, improve, solve and evolve. Personally I don't think this is the case. Hopefully I won't be proved wrong.

Whatever the case, I don't buy the idea that WotC is some cruel, heartless, soulless beast that doesn't give a d... about the product they're creating, or their loyal fan base, or anyone in the world. I doubt very much they're having the books made in some backwater alley in a sweat shop found in some war torn third world country and using their profits to invest in instruments of mass destruction. But some people make out as if they were monsters, or cold blooded murderers.

The boss has taken time to at least try and do some damage control by answering peoples questions. That doesn't mean he's in a position to be open, or speak in depth or at length about the decision. Keep in mind they are in a court case over this. And he may not even have those answers.

What we can hope is that he's being honest. That there is a will to find a suitable solution, and in time the problem will be resolved. Because obviously this will do little to stem the flood of pirated copies of books on-line.

I personally appreciate the gesture and prefer to think positively until proven otherwise. I have nothing to lose in doing so, and nothing to gain by doing the reverse.
 

No, it doesn't work that way. WotC can't track all illegal downloads or even get any reliable numbers (or even stand by a 10 to 1 ratio). Its impossible. Its like saying 1 out of every 10 people watch kittens on the internet. It's an impossible statement. Even if you had access to all that information, such as all the bits and bites, that still does not tell you much. The information gets relayed and processed so many times, that you can't get a statistically significant number. Basically, you can say "the numbers point to a 10 to 1 ratio, with a margin for error equal to 20. Even if say, they tracked one illegal download site, they'd have to account for all the syphons on that site that download and re-download (ad infinitum) the same information for other pirate sites. The actual number of downloads actually download by a person, and not a bot or other prog, is likely so much less...possible insignificant. There is no real way of knowing.
Really?
 



The number of people being insulting here is NOT ACCEPTABLE. The next person to claim others are zombies, dumb, or anything else can expect a vacation from the site.

This issue, as contentious as it may be, DOES NOT JUSTIFY how you are treating each other. You are all gamers - you share a love for a hobby. Maybe different editions, maybe you get different things out of it, but there is NOTHING USEFUL that comes out of taking your frustrations out on each other.

Really, people. Enough is enough. The only thing you are accomplishing is the degradation of this site. Stop messing up the place, already.

 

Whatever the case, I don't buy the idea that WotC is some cruel, heartless, soulless beast that doesn't give a d... about the product they're creating, or their loyal fan base, or anyone in the world.
The people "on the floor" seem to me to be good people, just like back in the day. Mike Mearls, James Wyatt, and all the other designers/developers. I might not always agree with their design choices, but they're clearly people who love the game.

The people in charge of the over-arching business decisions, however? Has Greg Leeds ever rolled a d20? Can you see anyone in current management ever posting something like this or this?
 

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