thatdarnedbob said:
I really have no idea what those percentages will look like, but it could be a concern.
From the many polls here, it's looks like it's about:
55% fanboys (like 4e)
45% old folks (don't like 4e)
Though am an old folk, I suspect the ratios will change over time, as people get more used to 4e.
Eventually, I predict it will become about 65/35 in a few months, or and finally resting at about 70/30. I think WOTC will have permanent lost (or at least until 5e, if my "only the odd numbered editions are good" theory holds true) about 1/3 of the audience.
Of the people I know IRL:
-- Went with two people to the Game Day at Neumos in Seattle. One was big into DDO, never play on paper. The other had been big into AD&D twenty years ago and big into an online RPG (not WOW). Both flipped through the PHB I bought and were not interested enough to stay and play a game, despite having been intererest enough to drive into Seattle from the 'burbs to check out the event.
-- The game I'm a player in. Currently on hiatus, since our DM moved to Pennsylvania, but he's moving back and wants to play 4e. The reaction of all 5 non-DM players including me is "OK", but I'm the designated doesn't like it guy. I'm only the one who plays/runs any other campaigns. Nobody but me and the DM have bought any books yet. One of the main attractions is the Game Table, but the fact that it's not working means we have to wait for the DM to move back "in a few months" anyhow.
-- The game I run in person. Currently on hiatus, as 2 of 4 non-DM players are overseas. I'm running it, so I'm sticking to 3.5e. Nobody else has any interest in exploring the new books, but they thought it was cool that I went to Neumos.
-- The game I run on email. We've discussed it. One player, who started a huge gaming group in Vermont with many spinoff DM's, is totally opposed to 4e. Another player, who was a 3.5e DM, has offered to the group to run a new campaign in 4e -- no takers. One player, who never DM's but played in the 4e-likers old campaign, said no way to 4e. 3 other players have expressed no views, out of disinterest, I think.
So, in real life, I know:
DM's:
-- 2 4e haters (me and another guy)
-- 2 4e lovers (one mild, one quite enamoured with it, both jonesing for the Game Table)
Players:
-- 1 4e hater
-- 0 4e lovers
-- 13 who aren't much interested
Seems roughly inline with the online views here.