Is the AD&D 1E revival here to stay?
First, let me state that the following is in no way intended to be read as me forcing my truth at anyone. This is what I think is the current situation, nothing more, nothing less. To start with I don't think there is a simple yes/no answer to the question. Looking at the situation I don't think there is more of a revival today, than say six months ago, or a year ago. At the same time, I don't think there is less of a revival either.
At the moment, there is much talk about OSRIC being the herald of the AD&D 1E goodness,. But before that, C&C was the herald of the change back to the basics of the early D&D/AD&D. And before that Hackmaster was that herald (and a herald that hewed very closely to AD&D, it being for most intent and purposes, AD&D in another suit of armor). So OSRIC is picking up a gauntlet that is passed from other initiatives, that have more or less been rejected as the vehicle for a "new but old" AD&D feeling. C&C has found it's own niche, and Hackmaster has floundered for reasons I'm not really sure of. To me, this indicates that OSRIC is the current focus for a latent wish for a "modern" rule set for the AD&D experience. Hence, no "revival", but rather a continued interest that has found another focal point. Which is due to Papers&Paychecks sterling work and vision.
So will this last? Yes and no.
I suspect that OSRIC will be met with interest and excitement for a while. Right now, before many people have had a hard look at the rules, it still carries with it the promise of delivering the AD&D experience of old. A promise that will be harder and harder to fulfill, as more people download the rules and start using them. Because the experiences of AD&D is very much different from group to group. When we're still talking about a vague "promise of AD&D", everyone can agree that OSRIC is a good thing.
But when we as a community start to get down to the nitty gritty, the rules, we will probably want to change OSRIC to fit our needs and tastes. And maybe some realise that that good old feeling wasn't really that much dependant on rules, but more a question of style. So the unified vision in the community of OSRIC will be diluted, and it will not continue to be the common solution for that "new but old" AD&D feeling. And the community will start looking for the next herald of the good old AD&D feeling.
Having the strong vision of Papers&Paychecks and several commercial publishers to back him up could negate that. And that vision is in my opinion more important than the rules themselves. So, is the revival here to stay? Well, the wish for an old but new AD&D never went away and there are people constantly looking for something/someone to carry the torch forward. So the interest will stay. I'm just not sure the rules that carry the banner of AD&D will have the same staying power.
/M