D&D 5E (2024) Is WOTC done publishing campaigns?


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So, if I understand correctly, unless you are actively shoveling money at WotC, you are not a fan of D&D?

From an investor viewpoint, you don't have to be shovelling money, but a fan that does not result in some money coming in somehow (and there is always an angle to get a fan to spend money, whether it's just a sticker, a t-shirt, begging a friend to make an account and then seeing ads that pay money...etc) coming it...it's not really a fan worth counting. I mean, even kids will go somewhere and see ads (that bring in money). There has to be some excitement somewhere, some way they participate in excitement...even if that translates into a player who gets their DM to spend money (hence why I think the 1:5 ratio works in the first place, that's not saying everyone in the group is buying a PHB...but someone in the group will in order for them all to use it...some may just use the free basic rules...or something else...etc).

So...not shoveling money, but excitement and involvement leads to money being spent...not necessarily a whale (and face it, only 1% or 2% are whales), but at least a minnow. (I think statistically they say around 10-20% will at least spend money on a product, which falls in line with 1/10 to 1/5, but with outiside involvement from others, other sources can push how much is spent upwards, even if still from only that lower percentage).

PS: Personally, I'd prefer you to spend money on quality items being produced, as both the company that made it and the person buying it both benefit from that transaction.
 

I believe general investor sentiment is that however many “fans” D&D has, Wizards is absolutely pants at extracting meaningful revenue from them. Doesn’t means the fans don’t exist though; there are people on this forum who probably last spent money on an official D&D product in the 80’s but nevertheless have a drawerful of t-shirts with d20s on them they can deploy should they need to fly the flag.
 

That's an article from Sept 2024 and appears to be using more akin to my numbers.

Or is the idea that they increased the number of fans by 35 million in a matter of 3-4 months (time when the Beyond article seems to have been posted which was Dec. 2024).
these are two very different numbers, comparing lifetime players to current fans is comparing apples to oranges.

You are fine with one of WotC’s numbers but not the other without having much of a reason outside of how you feel about them.

I don’t have much of a reason to mistrust one of them more than the other. Knowing anything precise about a 50 year history seems to be somewhat dubious in its own right, I would expect them to have a better idea about the current number of players. The problem with the other is the unclear / vague definition of fan.

Those numbers don't seem to add up...or something strange happened for that massive of a jump in a 4 month period.
these number ‘add up’ if you are accepting that they are unrelated to each other, players <> fans…

I would not take either at face value, but I also would not reject one outright while kinda accepting the other without a better rationale than you are offering
 


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hehe... :D
 



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