Would you play if he is correct? Keep in mind he is an important figure in dungeons and dragons and not just some opinionated person.
Ryan dancey...
I think that commercially successful TRPGs of the future will be constructed more like a family game – something that can be unpacked, learned quickly, and played with little prep work. These games will give people a lot of the same joy of “roleplaying” and narrative control that they get from today’s Hobby Game TRPGs but with a fraction of the time investment. Wizards is already experimenting with this format, as is Fantasy Flight Games. It seems like a good bet that there is a substantially profitable business down this line of evolution.
[MENTION=69155]Layander[/MENTION] you failed your Read check.
A couple of things:
Dancey is not granting that WotC's next moves will be successful. He points out that 4E was not considered a success. It's not a foregone conclusion that 5E will be successful.
Further, the various editions of D&D don't have to go away if something else is more successful. WotC is already publishing board games. If they continue to do so, and if Ryan Dancey is right about board games being the future, then the market will eventually tell WotC that the board games are outselling D&D, and D&D will quietly get less and less support.
I don't agree with Dancey's vision of the future, but he's not saying D&D as we know it is going away any time soon. Just that it might be less profitable than other things WotC might try to do.