BryonD
Hero
The odds are not as rough as that. 99 1% chances does not make for a 99% chance.airwalkrr said:I should remind people that potions of longevity in 1e had a 1% cumulative chance of undoing the effects of all previous potions of longevity. There was therefore, in fact, a limit to the number of potions of longevity one could consume. Theoretically, if one was extremely lucky (and I do mean extreme), one could consume 99 potions and enhance one's lifespan an average of 643.5 years. But the odds of that happening are infinitessimally small. In fact, if my calculations are correct, there is about a 43% chance that the effects will be reversed by the time you drink your 10th potion, so the potion is all but a surefire thing.
10 potions has just over a 90% success rate. And you vould drink 99 and still have better than a 35% chance of success. Less than 50/50, so lucky yes, but 1 in 3 is far from extreme.