Charlaquin
Goblin Queen (She/Her/Hers)
The textual evidence I have seen so far is…I tell you, I'm a little (only slightly) frustrated that from my perspective, you've been given tons of textual evidence on how it's supposed to work (I admit, not by me, I care more about story and appealing to reason). You just don't seem to "care".
• the wording of dread counterspell and counterspell, which are different, possibly indicating intent for them to work differently. I do agree that, as worded, dread counterspell seems to work whether Vecna perceives the casting or not, but this does not indicate whether or not Vecna would be aware that it would work.
• The wording of the Mage Slayer Feat, which does not mention needing to see the spell being cast, which gives cause to doubt that the difference in wording between counterspell and dread counter spell is an indication of intent for it to function differently.
• The passage from the adventure, which says that Vecna can tell what spell is being cast without an ability check, but does not say that he can tell if a spell is being cast when it has no material components.
The third point is by far the most compelling, and moved me from “the text clearly doesn’t allow Vecna to know a spell is being cast” to “the text is ambiguous on whether or not Vecna knows a spell is being cast, but I could reasonably see that having been the intent.
I’m pretty sure that’s about it. If you have other textual evidence that might suggest that’s the intent (or that it isn’t), by all means share it.