Ruin Explorer
Legend
AC 18 gets attacked by +4 foe, chance of getting hit is on 14 or higher, which is 35%.
AC 14 gets attacked by +4 foe, chance of getting hit is on 10 or higher, which is 55%.
That sure looks like a 20% difference to me...
If you are thinking more along the lines of 35/55 indicating the 18 AC guy is 36% (roughly) less likely to be hit, then you are looking at them as dependent, which they aren't since one has nothing to do with the other.
Uh-huh, but you're failing at basic logic here, because it doesn't matter if they're "dependent" or not, what matters is that the AC18 guy is, over the course of adventure or three, going to get hit a lot more than 20% less often, relative to the AC14 guy (or an alternate reality where he had AC14).
You've got into that math zone where you can't see how real games actually play, or how numbers matter over time. The goal of having a high AC is to stop yourself getting downed by damage which comes from attack rolls.