If this is true, the first half of this year is gonna be boring in terms of their products.
Ok except for call of the netherdeep, which I am buying primarily because I get excited to see newer settings get adventure support
Just saying, the front half usually is slow and the back half heavy.
We're getting TWO books in the front-half. That's what we got in 2020 and 2021. I'm not expecting a third book before August/September, and that one will likely be the Adventure Path. MAYBE a July Campaign Setting if we're lucky, but that's still Q3 and almost certainly is
Spelljammer if so. But this is a meatier Starter Set than
Stranger Things,
Essentials Kit, and
D&D vs R&M. It could well be their early Q3 product, leaving
Spelljammer to Q4.
In any case, the next UA will almost certainly reflect a Q4 product or else a 2023 or 2024 product. It's way too close to release for a Q2 product to be going through UA right now, we know that last fall's UA is reflective of the next big product and thus likely takes release priority for Q3 ahead of something unannounced yet still needs external playtesting, and Adventure Paths, since we went to one a year, have always been the August/September release (with an optional November follow-up book covering a related story with higher level gameplay). So the Adventure Module is the August/September release almost certainly. They want a FULL year of AL covering Feywild adventures, so they're not going to move onto the next AL Season before Fall 2022, nor will they delay it later into the year. Player's Options books usually come out with a campaign guide at any point, in May, or in November/December. MP:MotM is the May book, so don't expect a new Player-options book other than a campaign guide before Nov/Dec. And of course, if we get a campaign book earlier in the year, it's almost certainly
Spelljammer.
All this informs why it's been 5 months since the last UA.