College Football 2007-2008
- Thread starter fett527
- Start date
Well, here's my rundown for this week, though I didn't get to watch much due to bad TV situations at my siblings' places this weekend ...
Current BCS Bowl Projections
BCS Title: West Virginia (BE) vs. Ohio State (B10)
Rose: Southern Cal (P10) vs. Georgia (at-large)
Orange: Virginia Tech (ACC) vs. Arizona State (at-large)
Fiesta: Oklahoma (B12) vs. Hawaii (autobid for being in BCS top 12 or above lowest-ranked BCS conference champ)
Sugar: LSU (SEC) vs. Kansas (autobid as BCS#3/4)
Assumptions
- WVU beats Pitt
- LSU refocuses and wins SEC title game
- Hawaii beats UW
- Oklahoma wins B12 title game
- 11-1 Kansas probably is in BCS top 4
BCS conference/BCS title contender rundown:
ACC:
No BCS title contenders.
Championship game: BC vs. VT
pojected champion: Virginia Tech
B12:
BCS title contender:
MO (11-1) - Loss by Oregon and LSU almost certainly put them in the BCS title game if they win the B12, though I wouldn't rank them above WVU or Ohio State (with the same record) if I had a vote.
Expected final record: 11-2 (loses to Oklahoma in Big 12 title game rematch)
Championship game: Oklahoma vs. MO
Projected champion: Oklahoma
B10:
BCS title contender:
Ohio State (11-1) - Losses by Oregon and LSU put them right back in BCS title race, especially if Oklahoma wins B12.
Champion: Ohio State
BE:
BCS title contender:
West Virginia (10-1) - Barring a shcoking loss to Pitt, almost certainly in the BCS title game
Expected final record: 11-1
Champion: West Virginia (should beat Pitt next week)
P10:
BCS title contender: None, barring a WVU loss to Pitt (at which point Southern Cal drops into the mix)
Expected final record: 10-2 (loses to Southern Cal)
Projected champion: Southern Cal due to tiebreaker edge vs. ASU
SEC:
BCS title contender: None, barring a WVU loss to Pitt (at which point LSU and Georgia drop into the mix)
Championship game: LSU vs. Tenn
Projected champion: LSU (despite loss to Arkansas, should beat Tenn in SEC title)
Current BCS Bowl Projections
BCS Title: West Virginia (BE) vs. Ohio State (B10)
Rose: Southern Cal (P10) vs. Georgia (at-large)
Orange: Virginia Tech (ACC) vs. Arizona State (at-large)
Fiesta: Oklahoma (B12) vs. Hawaii (autobid for being in BCS top 12 or above lowest-ranked BCS conference champ)
Sugar: LSU (SEC) vs. Kansas (autobid as BCS#3/4)
Assumptions
- WVU beats Pitt
- LSU refocuses and wins SEC title game
- Hawaii beats UW
- Oklahoma wins B12 title game
- 11-1 Kansas probably is in BCS top 4
BCS conference/BCS title contender rundown:
ACC:
No BCS title contenders.
Championship game: BC vs. VT
pojected champion: Virginia Tech
B12:
BCS title contender:
MO (11-1) - Loss by Oregon and LSU almost certainly put them in the BCS title game if they win the B12, though I wouldn't rank them above WVU or Ohio State (with the same record) if I had a vote.
Expected final record: 11-2 (loses to Oklahoma in Big 12 title game rematch)
Championship game: Oklahoma vs. MO
Projected champion: Oklahoma
B10:
BCS title contender:
Ohio State (11-1) - Losses by Oregon and LSU put them right back in BCS title race, especially if Oklahoma wins B12.
Champion: Ohio State
BE:
BCS title contender:
West Virginia (10-1) - Barring a shcoking loss to Pitt, almost certainly in the BCS title game
Expected final record: 11-1
Champion: West Virginia (should beat Pitt next week)
P10:
BCS title contender: None, barring a WVU loss to Pitt (at which point Southern Cal drops into the mix)
Expected final record: 10-2 (loses to Southern Cal)
Projected champion: Southern Cal due to tiebreaker edge vs. ASU
SEC:
BCS title contender: None, barring a WVU loss to Pitt (at which point LSU and Georgia drop into the mix)
Championship game: LSU vs. Tenn
Projected champion: LSU (despite loss to Arkansas, should beat Tenn in SEC title)
Dimwhit said:
Well, I don't think Arizona will beat them, in which case it's quite possible that the bowls will have no choice in the matter. If VT beats BC, there won't be a second ACC team in the top 14. There won't be a second Big East team in the top 14 no matter what happens. So if Illinois stays out of the top 14 (meaning there's only one eligible Big Ten team), there's no other option but to take a second SEC team (probably Georgia), a second Big 12 team (Kansas might end up in automatically by virtue of the top 4 rule, otherwise it'd be Missouri), and a second Pac 10 team (which will have to be Arizona State).
Ranger REG
Explorer
I know. That's why I stopped celebrating after Saturday. One more game to go.Dimwhit said:
Ranger REG
Explorer
This Just In...
Hawaii's come-from-behind victory over Washington, 35-28.
Can you spell "BCS"?
OBTW, good news for WAC. 4 teams (including UH and Boise State) are shoo-in for any bowl game.
Sources
http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/recap?gameId=273350062
http://the.honoluluadvertiser.com/article/2007/Dec/01/br/br7389206451.html
Hawaii's come-from-behind victory over Washington, 35-28.
Can you spell "BCS"?
OBTW, good news for WAC. 4 teams (including UH and Boise State) are shoo-in for any bowl game.
Sources
http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/recap?gameId=273350062
http://the.honoluluadvertiser.com/article/2007/Dec/01/br/br7389206451.html
Last edited:
Well, here's my rundown for this week...
Current BCS Bowl Projections
BCS Title:
will be: LSU (SEC) vs. Ohio State (B10)
should be: Southern Cal (P10) vs. Ohio State (B10) (Okay, I like the Trojans in the #2 beauty contest)
Rose:
will be: Southern Cal (P10) vs. Illinois (at-large)
should be: Arizona State (at-large) vs. Georgia (at-large) (ASU as USC's replacement is very defensible; Illini aren't)
Orange:
will be: Virginia Tech (ACC) vs. West Virginia (BE)
should be: Virginia Tech (ACC) vs. Kansas (at-large) (One-loss major conference teams should get a BCS bowl)
Fiesta:
will be: Oklahoma (B12) vs. Arizona State (at-large)
should be: Oklahoma (B12) vs. Hawaii (WAC/autobid) (Oklahoma vs. Boise was fun last year; lets see what another WAC team can do)
Sugar:
will be: Georgia (at-large) vs. Hawaii (autobid for being in BCS top 12 or above lowest-ranked BCS conference champ)
should be: LSU (SEC) vs. Illinois (at-large) (just because I like sticking the SEC with the worst possible matchup; Clemson just might also be eligible)
Assumptions
- LSU moves up to #2 with SEC title game win, Missouri loss, and WVU loss
- Georgia stays in the top 4
BCS conference/BCS title contender rundown:
ACC:
Virginia Tech (11-2): Blowout loss to LSU probably takes them out of the running, but two-loss BCS conference champs can't be easily dismissed this year.
Champion: Virginia Tech
B12:
BCS title contenders:
Oklahoma (11-2): Beat Missouri twice, but lost to Colorado and Texas Tech.
Kansas (11-1): One of only two one-loss BCS conference schools, but didn't play Texas or Oklahoma, and lost only game against a ranked opponent.
Champion: Oklahoma
B10:
BCS title contender:
Ohio State (11-1): Lack of marquee non-conference wins, Michigan's collapse, and Ohio State's dominance tends to hide the fact that the Big Ten wasn't all that bad this year; don't be surprised when Buckeyes win the BCS title game.
Champion: Ohio State
BE:
BCS title contender:
West Virginia (10-2): Loss to Pitt eliminates 'eers from serious consideration, but really shouldn't; most title contenders have one or two bad losses.
Co-champions: West Virginia and UConn (WVU wins tiebreaker and BCS autobid by virtue of head-to-head win)
P10:
BCS title contenders:
Southern Cal (10-2): Blowout win over ASU won of the most impressive wins by anyone this year (along with the LSU blowout of VT, and Oklahoma's Big 12 title game win) but still has bad loss to Stanford. Still, one of the hottest teams right now.
Arizona State (10-2): No marquee wins, but no one can say they have better losses (to Southern Can and Oregon with Dixon).
Co-Champions: Southern Cal and ASU (Southern Cal wins tiebreaker and BCS autobid by virtue of head-to-head win)
SEC:
BCS title contenders:
LSU (11-2): Has maintained 'best team in the country' cachet despite a long string of narrow wins and overtime losses. I don't get it, but the SEC superiority cult seems likely to send LSU to the title game.
Georgia (10-2): Like USC, one of the hottest team in the country right now, but seems likely to get leapfrogged by one more teams this week despite not playing. Which is perfectly reasonable; Georgia has some very good wins, but has also suffered some really bad losses (not just by okay to bad to teams, but by a lot)
Champion: LSU
WAC
BCS title contender:
Hawaii (12-0): In any other year, no team with a schedule as soft as Hawaii's would even get half a glance. But when we're talking about putting two-loss teams in the title game, a team that went undefeated, even on a really bad schedule, deserves at least a look.
Current BCS Bowl Projections
BCS Title:
will be: LSU (SEC) vs. Ohio State (B10)
should be: Southern Cal (P10) vs. Ohio State (B10) (Okay, I like the Trojans in the #2 beauty contest)
Rose:
will be: Southern Cal (P10) vs. Illinois (at-large)
should be: Arizona State (at-large) vs. Georgia (at-large) (ASU as USC's replacement is very defensible; Illini aren't)
Orange:
will be: Virginia Tech (ACC) vs. West Virginia (BE)
should be: Virginia Tech (ACC) vs. Kansas (at-large) (One-loss major conference teams should get a BCS bowl)
Fiesta:
will be: Oklahoma (B12) vs. Arizona State (at-large)
should be: Oklahoma (B12) vs. Hawaii (WAC/autobid) (Oklahoma vs. Boise was fun last year; lets see what another WAC team can do)
Sugar:
will be: Georgia (at-large) vs. Hawaii (autobid for being in BCS top 12 or above lowest-ranked BCS conference champ)
should be: LSU (SEC) vs. Illinois (at-large) (just because I like sticking the SEC with the worst possible matchup; Clemson just might also be eligible)
Assumptions
- LSU moves up to #2 with SEC title game win, Missouri loss, and WVU loss
- Georgia stays in the top 4
BCS conference/BCS title contender rundown:
ACC:
Virginia Tech (11-2): Blowout loss to LSU probably takes them out of the running, but two-loss BCS conference champs can't be easily dismissed this year.
Champion: Virginia Tech
B12:
BCS title contenders:
Oklahoma (11-2): Beat Missouri twice, but lost to Colorado and Texas Tech.
Kansas (11-1): One of only two one-loss BCS conference schools, but didn't play Texas or Oklahoma, and lost only game against a ranked opponent.
Champion: Oklahoma
B10:
BCS title contender:
Ohio State (11-1): Lack of marquee non-conference wins, Michigan's collapse, and Ohio State's dominance tends to hide the fact that the Big Ten wasn't all that bad this year; don't be surprised when Buckeyes win the BCS title game.
Champion: Ohio State
BE:
BCS title contender:
West Virginia (10-2): Loss to Pitt eliminates 'eers from serious consideration, but really shouldn't; most title contenders have one or two bad losses.
Co-champions: West Virginia and UConn (WVU wins tiebreaker and BCS autobid by virtue of head-to-head win)
P10:
BCS title contenders:
Southern Cal (10-2): Blowout win over ASU won of the most impressive wins by anyone this year (along with the LSU blowout of VT, and Oklahoma's Big 12 title game win) but still has bad loss to Stanford. Still, one of the hottest teams right now.
Arizona State (10-2): No marquee wins, but no one can say they have better losses (to Southern Can and Oregon with Dixon).
Co-Champions: Southern Cal and ASU (Southern Cal wins tiebreaker and BCS autobid by virtue of head-to-head win)
SEC:
BCS title contenders:
LSU (11-2): Has maintained 'best team in the country' cachet despite a long string of narrow wins and overtime losses. I don't get it, but the SEC superiority cult seems likely to send LSU to the title game.
Georgia (10-2): Like USC, one of the hottest team in the country right now, but seems likely to get leapfrogged by one more teams this week despite not playing. Which is perfectly reasonable; Georgia has some very good wins, but has also suffered some really bad losses (not just by okay to bad to teams, but by a lot)
Champion: LSU
WAC
BCS title contender:
Hawaii (12-0): In any other year, no team with a schedule as soft as Hawaii's would even get half a glance. But when we're talking about putting two-loss teams in the title game, a team that went undefeated, even on a really bad schedule, deserves at least a look.
Dimwhit
Explorer
Ranger REG said:Hawaii's come-from-behind victory over Washington, 35-28.
Can you spell "BCS"?
OBTW, good news for WAC. 4 teams (including UH and Boise State) are shoo-in for any bowl game.
Boise is, for some strange reason, looking to go to Hawaii. I think it's largely because the players want to travel, and there are better odds of Hawaii fans showing up to support Boise than Fresno. So Ranger, go to the Hawaii bowl and support my Broncos!!!
Great that Hawaii won, though. I hope they win their BCS game. A WAC team winning two years in a row would be fantastic.
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