Rystil Arden
First Post
Zykovian:
[SBLOCK]
*Zykovian does some quick math in his head and runs through possible scenarios, simulating them to their full conclusions. His analysis is that there is probably somewhere around a 60% chance that the guard will find the location promptly, a 30% chance that they will eventually find it but it will take them significantly longer than if he just waited and led them himself so he'd have to wait with Fedowin for a while and hope no more trouble showed up, and then maybe a 10% chance that they never find it at all----and worse yet, if the guards didn't show up promptly they would never know for sure if it was the 30% late arrival or the 10% failure to find it that was happening.*
[/SBLOCK]
[SBLOCK]
*Zykovian does some quick math in his head and runs through possible scenarios, simulating them to their full conclusions. His analysis is that there is probably somewhere around a 60% chance that the guard will find the location promptly, a 30% chance that they will eventually find it but it will take them significantly longer than if he just waited and led them himself so he'd have to wait with Fedowin for a while and hope no more trouble showed up, and then maybe a 10% chance that they never find it at all----and worse yet, if the guards didn't show up promptly they would never know for sure if it was the 30% late arrival or the 10% failure to find it that was happening.*
[/SBLOCK]