John Crichton said:
I call BS. Again. The problem with the PS3 isn't the price of the console, it's the lack of games. This whole "price cut" issue is largely irrelevant right now. The games are the true issue.
I've never said that games aren't important. I'm not interested in arguing that a game console would sell even without games (unlike certain Sony executives). However dismissing price is taking a myopic view on the situation.
There's a reason why most console sales happen below a certain price point (and why a lot of people picked up the Wii on almost a whim). Because price, despite how great something may be, determines what people will and will not even consider buying. Right now, at the sort of prices Sony is charging, they're in the ultra hardcore demographic of video game players. More games will encourage more of those people, sure, but the pool of possible consumers is still limited to those willing and able to drop $600 on a video game system.
Microsoft has a software library which, apparently, even at $400 (a price point that never worked before in video game history) is able to sell twice as many consoles to consumers as the PS3. Meanwhile, Microsoft is long overdue to drop the Premium's price down to $300, while Sony will struggle to even make $500 this Christmas season.
What are the people who only play Madden each year supposed to buy? The console that can play BluRay movies for the HDTV they don't have?
What about the people who only play GTA? (That series which sold 14 million copies last time around.)
Those are a huge number of sales to lose.
Heavenly Sword, Ratchet, Drake's Fortune, Lair, and Warhawk will move consoles. But not as many at $600 as $400. Meanwhile Microsoft is coming out with some, it's fair to say, much more hotly anticipated titles this holiday, while already at that lower price point (and with the potential to dip even further). Lower prices equal more possible consumers; more possible consumers equal more sales; which equals a bigger install base; which generates more exclusive deals; which leads to even greater sales; which lead to even more exclusives.
This is a race Sony is going to lose, and if they do it's because they handed the victory to Microsoft.