Sorry, external workload stuff.
Various communications and divinations produce the following information:
Zarun has continued to inflame the populace with rhetoric about equality, while at the same time (apparently) causing a few more key disappearances within the military.
The populace is enraged by the accusations regarding the Thayan enclave. This has brought an enormous amount of pressure on establishment figures. People generally believe Zarun.
A key labor leader was recently assasinated, and he of course is blaming the merchant houses. Texter is highly skeptical that they actually were responsable.
Meanwhile, Zarun has continued to use his apparently-endless fortune to provide handouts in the poorest areas, and uses his overly-large (as in, illegally large, but it has gotten to the point that no one is willing to take action) personal army to provide security to certain areas and tend to certain needs.
He has gotten much credit for the destruction of two large, goblinoid street gangs, in a series of massive raids, but it is worth noting that these gangs were direct competitors to labor-affiliated gangsters whom Zarun may be allied with and who have become vastly more powerful as his might has increased(Most Waterdeep unions tend to have strong ethnic or species elements to them, and tend to exclude goblinoids to keep jobs for natives).
Churches are finding it harder and harder to provide tiher usual services, due to increased unrest in many areas of the city. There have also been reports of intimidation by gangster types directed against churches providing social services. Zarun is offering his own forces to help escort them, though for now most are taking their chances with their own warriors.
Zarun's enemies are now mostly fighting a holding action. The city will fall apart without commerce and without churches ,so they believe that at some point his advances will stop. They have largely given up on defeating him in general, however, instead choosing to try to cut their losses.
The churches and Texter say that they may not be able to protect you. You have become a liability, though unfairly. In the short term, they say, your public involvement with old guard politics would hurt them far more than it would help. Furthermore, Zarun will probably be attempting to arrest Lt. Cmdr. Kiran, who is still within your compound, any day now, and that could create a public confrontation that you would not be able to win even with their backing. It is likely that they plan to arrest everyone there and confiscate all that they find. They may raid it, or they may beseige it for a while first. It is unclear which they are preparing to do.