Bauglir
First Post
UltimaGabe said:In a group of 20 people, at least one of them is bound to hit. In a group of 400 people, at least one is bound to go critical. And if there's 8,000... well, one of the PCs is going to die. At least.
Basically, the PCs should always fear the commoners. How would they know that the commoners aren't 15th level?
Not true.
Lets assume they need a 20 to hit - that means they have a 95% chance to miss. The chance of at least one hit over 20 throws is the chance that they don't ALL miss.
ie 1 - (0.95^20) or about 64.151%
That said, with a large amount of rolls, average results tend to come out, and one can expect one attack in 20 to hit on average, one in 400 to critical.
Which is probably what you meant, but I like looking at the statistics
