Crothian said:
I'll give Atlanta the edge in their game. Both offenses will be slowed down since both defenses are better then other teams they've faced this playoff, but the Atlanta O is better then the Phili O. But as usually it will depend on Vick and if the Phili D can keep him contained.
I've been horribly wrong in forecasting most of the playoffs, but how do you figure Atlanta's got a better offense than Philly? The Eagles have superior numbers in points per game and yards per game, and, unlike Atlanta, have a legitimate passing game.
Crothian said:
The second game I'mm picking the Steelers but just because that's my team. It's going to be a physical game and running to set up the pass will determine the winner.
4 teams left, all with really good defensives and running games.
Again, I don't see this at all. Philly's running game was 10th in the NFC (they're the #4 passing offense). New England's running game ranks 6th in the AFC (they're also the #6 passing offense); what makes them a powerful offense is their balance. Atlanta and Pittsburgh are run-oriented, but the Falcons beat the statistically worst team ever to make the playoffs in order to advance.
The Falcons have the #6 defense in the NFC by both yards and points, so rating them as anything better than slightly above-average is pushing it. New England is #2 by yards and #6 by points; Pittsburgh is #1 by both yards and points.
My guess is that Philly is clearly superior to Atlanta, and will win the game convincingly.They're better an offense, better on defense, the home team, and have far more playoff experience. Besides, I'm a Syracuse guy, and so will always take McNabb over Vick.
Pittsburgh and New England are more evenly matched; the Steelers superior defense against the Patriots superior offense. I think that New England's offensive edge is greater than the Pittsburgh's defensive edge and New England isn't starting a rookie QB. But the Steelers are at home, and it takes a lot of luck to get to 3 Super Bowls in four years. Hmm... I guess I favor throwing the ball, so I'll take New England by a field goal.