OT: SARS - Should we be worried?

Eternalknight

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By MARY PAPADAKIS
27apr03

MORE than one billion people worldwide could be infected by the deadly SARS virus within a year, a leading UK scientist has warned.

Dr Patrick Dixon, a specialist in predicting global trends based at London's Development Management School, said SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) had the potential to turn into a pandemic and infect more people than AIDS.
The grim prediction comes as a Melbourne infection control specialist warned the virus could destroy Third World countries.

Glenys Harrington, who flew to Manila yesterday to join the World Health Organisation's assault on SARS, said the virus was a major threat to developing nations.

"Countries that are Third World or very poor may in fact be easily overwhelmed by SARS," she said.

"It could devastate some of these countries. It's important to offer any kind of assistance to them now.

"If we don't have a global effort to help countries that are under-resourced, it can get out of control."

In other developments:

UK scientists said a SARS vaccine could be ready by the end of the year but safety checks could delay its introduction for two years and it was not expected to work indefinitely because the virus is mutating.

THE first commercial diagnostic test for SARS, developed by German biotechnology company Artus, should arrive in Australia next week.

THE WHO has called for an official global hunt to track down every possible case and halt the explosive epidemic.

VIETNAM will be declared the first country to contain the virus if no new cases are diagnosed by April 30.

CHINA intensified its efforts against the virus, launching a national SARS control centre and a 10-step strategy for tackling the crisis, including improved quarantine and free medical services to poor SARS patients.

TAIWAN relocated 480 health workers, who were quarantined with 600 patients and visitors at SARS-ravaged Taipei Municipal Ho Ping Hospital, to military barracks.

HONG KONG officials took samples from a apartment block, the Hing Tung House, where seven people became ill.
 
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Nature's cure for humanity.
*sigh*

I suppose they'll end up having to round up everyone with the virus, sticking them on a small island and nuking the hell out of it.

But remember that the same thing was said about Ebola, at one time. That hasn't overrun the world, now has it?
 

Will worrying change anything? No.

I'll remain informed - but for me, there is no point in stressing about something that I can't control. Let's hope they find a vaccine relatively quickly.

As with all OT current events topics, please use good judgment in discussing this one here. Thanks!

Added "OT" to the thread title.
 
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According to all reports, SARS is an airborne, human vector, viral disorder that manifests in the lungs. In other words, it causes a particularly severe case of pneumonia.

The mortality rate is about 5% of cases right now, but SARS is a resource intensive illness to treat. Countries without the resources will have a much higher mortality rate.

It will devastate the world's HIV positive population. Countries such as Zimbabwe and Botswana are already experiencing a population drop. Zimbabwe is, as well, undergoing social disintegration. This will lead to social collapse and a long period of anarchy unless a cheap, effective treatment for SARS is developed and distributed.

Even in developed countries the epidemic can be very bad. Medical resources being rationed so SARS cases can be allocated the resources needed for care. AIDS patients being put on hospice care, because it's just not worth it to provide life-saving treatments. So on and so forth.

If we get lucky, we may lose only a few thousand, but in a worst case scenario the deaths could number in the billions. Even if the 5% rate holds throughout the crisis, that still means over 300 million dead. That alone will change the world in ways we don't expect.
 

Do what you can to prevent and strengthen yourself. Eat a balanced diet, wash your hands before eating, and if you do feel fluish, do consult a doctor.
 

Is the worst case scenario possible? Yes. Is it time to panic? No.

Remember, even with all the press, the number of cases of SARS is only about 4800 worldwide, and only something like 300 people have died. This thing has been growing quickly, but the sky isn't quite falling yet.
 

Now I'm by no means a doctor or even a medical expert, but isn't Sars similar to the flu? If that is the case, a vaccine could be a long way off. I remember reading somewhere that flu vaccines are created 2 or 3 years in advance, so in theory it could be years before they even have a working vaccine for it.
Of course I was supposed to go to Hong Kong right before GenCon. . maybe I should reschedule one of them ;)
 

The death rate is less than stunning, and exposure can easily be avoided by wearing a gas mask when outside. You should, really, be doing this anyway, as modern air is not fit for breathing and is filled with all manner of toxic wastes. Plus, you can breathe like Darth Vader. That's gotta be worth points, too.

Don't panic. It never helps. Wait for other people to panic, then use that as cover for looting.
 

Look, More people die each year from Diabetes. We should worry about that before something as piddly as this.

300 deaths? more people die PER MONTH from food poisoning.
 

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