The dog doesn't hear you.
As soon as you get out of the range of his scent you should be fine.
Cutting to the chase: You should be able to move yourself around taking careful movement, spotting for dogs, etc.
Normal movement is going to get you blundering in every obstacle possible though.
After about an hour and a half, you come across some tracks of a small group of very heavy horses, moving away from the village in the other direction you came from, through what seems to be a patch of unused soil. The track is a few days old and difficult to follow.
You can either try and follow it, or circle around the village some more in the hope you find other tracks.
[OOC do you want me to display the rolls or do you like it better if I hide them? Anyway, am going away fro a few hours now, will be back around midnight your time.]