JVisgaitis said:
This is all provided we are talking miniatures of the same quality, but the eBay market is a small slice and won't determine the outcome of either products success. The price disparity between eBay and what Reaper advertised is negligible even now. Plus, when Reaper's sets come out I'm sure you'll be able to get them on eBay for around 30% off. Do you think Reaper's minis will sell for shelf cost on eBay?
I hope they don't, but they're buying wholesale and the MSRP represents their profit margin. That may prove the downside of non-randomization: you don't get super-expensive rares, but no ultra-cheap 25 cent commons either, because the retailer's supplies will actually be well-rounded (i.e. they're not forced to take on piles of commons in order to get a good supply of rares).
It should not be disregarded that the prices of individual DDM minis are completely arbitrary. In fact, right now, there is a very odd situation with the DDM minis. At one time, it was economical to buy a complete set, which you could get for under $200. When WotC started price-jacking, the costs of buying boxes went up, the prices of cases went up, and the prices of buying the complete set went up. HOWEVER, the price of individual minis within from the set remained the same. So, when I went shopping for Unhalloweds, I had the option of paying $220 plus another $30 or so in shipping, or I could just buy them up individually. I actually came in at $190, including shipping and buying multiples of most commons and uncommons (dire wolves a-go-go).
Now, in regards to the issue with the orc archers that Twowolves brought up, there is a question about how long Reaper will keep a given set of minis in circulation. Will there be a point where they say "OK, we gotta move some resources from making orcs and skeletons and put them into new sets". Then will we be looking at $7 Reaper archers?
On a final note, I think it is a big error to refer to the secondary market as a "small slice". How many folks do you really think get their individual minis from local vendor in a strip mall? Those eBay shops represent retailers with a huge selection and they sell to a much broader customer base than the strip mall's walk-in crowd You think they don't buy more cases?