I'm going to cancel the local organized play for now. Might try discord if I can set it up.
My BIG problem is my son. He's my gamer buddy, but this week is kicking his ass.
This is his final year of school before college next fall, and he was as busier than a one armed paper hanger. He had 2 orchestra concerts and a solo competition canceled this week. His trip to Europe (France and Germany) with the Youth Symphony "postponed" until ? He normally has 3 rehearsals a week at different locations besides the after school orchestra and musical rehearsals. 3 weeks off school is going to be rough for him.
Next month is a band trip to Orlando, maybe.
He's not showing interest in gaming. Gods and Magic was a book he looked forward to getting, but he only looked at it for a few minutes. Normally my books disappear for months before I get them back. He wouldn't answer about playing any board games, so I'm playing zombicide alone.
I'm worried for his state of mind, don't know what I can do to get him going again.
Practicing his music isn't helping and he's getting mouthy.
Teenage years are challenging enough. My son likes his routines and doesn't do well with change. And these are changes that none of us really have any power over and can be even more frustrating.My BIG problem is my son. He's my gamer buddy, but this week is kicking his ass.
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I'm worried for his state of mind, don't know what I can do to get him going again.
Practicing his music isn't helping and he's getting mouthy.
We are moving online with Roll20 and Fantasy Grounds.
Im not changing anything. This virus is a joke. I'd say its the seasonal flu but so far thats killed 18000 people in america this year and corona mania has killed about 50.
So since I dont twist my life into a pretzel for the regular flu, I'm definitely not going to do it for this.
I will come back and quote you when the death rate starts skyrocketing in 2 weeks. It takes about 14 days for those in acute care to die. Coronavirus is currently estimated at 3.4% fatality rate, which is 6.8x that of the seasonal flu. 6% of cases become acute.
Based on CDC data (Preliminary In-Season 2019-2020 Flu Burden Estimates), the low end estimates for the flu are:
31,000,000 infected
370,000 hospitalized
22,000 deaths
If the coronavirus has the same number of infections, then it will be:
31,000,000 infected
1,860,000 hospitalized
1,054,000 dead.
This of course is assuming that we do nothing about it, like we mostly do for the seasonal flu. The actual outcome will be much better than this because of a couple of factors:
- the 6% acute care rate is likely much higher than the actual rate, as lots of people will be infected and not report it.
- measures the governments are taking are reducing transmission, so it is highly unlikely we'll get to 31M infected.
But will it be 50x better to make it no worse than season flu? We'll see.
I will come back and quote you when the death rate starts skyrocketing in 2 weeks. It takes about 14 days for those in acute care to die. Coronavirus is currently estimated at 3.4% fatality rate, which is 6.8x that of the seasonal flu. 6% of cases become acute.
Based on CDC data (Preliminary In-Season 2019-2020 Flu Burden Estimates), the low end estimates for the flu are:
31,000,000 infected
370,000 hospitalized
22,000 deaths
If the coronavirus has the same number of infections, then it will be:
31,000,000 infected
1,860,000 hospitalized
1,054,000 dead.
This of course is assuming that we do nothing about it, like we mostly do for the seasonal flu. The actual outcome will be much better than this because of a couple of factors:
- the 6% acute care rate is likely much higher than the actual rate, as lots of people will be infected and not report it.
- measures the governments are taking are reducing transmission, so it is highly unlikely we'll get to 31M infected.
But will it be 50x better to make it no worse than season flu? We'll see.