D&D and the rising pandemic

[ad_hoc]

This is Oregon. People hike. A lot. This is how crowded trails are on a normal day. Then when everything else is shut down, there were 4x as many people hiking. And with narrow trails, there is no way you can avoid people coming the other direction (which is about a person every 10 seconds).

View attachment 120141

America is in real trouble.

They doubled their confirmed cases from 20 000 to 40 000 in the last 2 days.

Very quickly they're going to be #1 in the world for confirmed cases.

With so many other very serious systemic problems I could see this crisis completely crippling/collapsing the country.

The world is definitely changing forever. In individual countries but also geopolitically.

This isn't to say this kind of behaviour isn't happening elsewhere. Nova Scotia was the last Canadian province to declare a state of emergency. People were still filling up parks. Now they have the harshest penalties and recommendations for gatherings.

People are still messaging me on my online market sites to come by things from me too. A lot of people just don't get it.

We're also looking at months of social distancing, not a week or two. I think that's something that hasn't sunk in for most people either.

 

[Umbran]

America is in real trouble.

They doubled their confirmed cases from 20 000 to 40 000 in the last 2 days.

The CDC, as of today, say the number of cases is 33,404. When you look at wikipedia for this inofrmation... I can find three different numbers within three clicks. Consistency of information is not great.

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the U.S.

View the number of confirmed cases COVID-19 in the United States.

www.cdc.gov

 

[ad_hoc]

The CDC, as of today, say the number of cases is 33,404. When you look at wikipedia for this inofrmation... I can find three different numbers within three clicks. Consistency of information is not great.

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the U.S.

View the number of confirmed cases COVID-19 in the United States.

www.cdc.gov

I used this site.

I've heard that reporting in the USA is hard to keep track of because of the way individual states are doing it.

I think moreso than that, the numbers are changing so rapidly. In a couple of hours the numbers will have changed.

Just this morning on this site the USA read 40 000 now it is at 41 500

Coronavirus Update (Live): 122,423,321 Cases and 2,703,987 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer

Live statistics and coronavirus news tracking the number of confirmed cases, recovered patients, tests, and death toll due to the COVID-19 coronavirus from Wuhan, China. Coronavirus counter with new cases, deaths, and number of tests per 1 Million population. Historical data and info. Daily...

www.worldometers.info

edit

looking at your link

"This page will be updated regularly at noon Mondays through Fridays. Numbers close out at 4 p.m. the day before reporting. "

So that 33 000 number was for cases up to 4pm on Sunday.

 

[Mallus]

The Johns Hopkins tool puts the current US count at 41, 511.

Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center

 

[Sacrosanct]

I think we all know the US case count is going to spike as soon as we actually start doing extended testing. It's very much so artificially low because we don't have the test kits to fully do adequate coverage

 

[Enevhar Aldarion]

I've heard that reporting in the USA is hard to keep track of because of the way individual states are doing it.

Yep. For example, here in Virginia the official numbers seem to be staying one day behind what they actually are, for at least some cases. For example, a newly confirmed case from yesterday may not be included in today's numbers, but will rather be added to tomorrow's numbers. And I have no idea what causes that one-day lag in adding them to the official numbers.

Alright, so I found why numbers in Virginia can be different between what news sites are reporting and what the dept of Health is reporting"

"These cases are “presumptively positive,” meaning they are pending confirmatory testing by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). "

The news is including "presumptively positive" in their numbers, which the dept of Health does not include them til they are confirmed. Other states probably do the same and can explain totals that do not match from day to day.

 

[Enevhar Aldarion]

I think we all know the US case count is going to spike as soon as we actually start doing extended testing. It's very much so artificially low because we don't have the test kits to fully do adequate coverage

Yeah, since as of yesterday, in the entire US, there have supposedly only been around 250k tests total done. And some of that is multiple tests for the same people. Also, for test numbers, some doctors say to be sure you are safe, you need two negative tests taken 24 hours apart, so once there are enough tests to go around, number of tests taken will not equal number of people tested in an even bigger percentage than now.

 

[Sacrosanct]

When the government is telling everyone who might have it to stay at home and not get tested unless they are severe, that right there tells you that most of the cases aren't even being identified.

 

[Sadras]

Well my country, South Africa, will be placed into a full lock down from midnight this Thursday 26 March till mightnight Thursday 16 April. I must say our president has acted swiftly and decisively within these last 2 weeks where we joined the rest of the infected world.

We currently have just over just 400 infected persons, no deaths as yet - but this epidemic can easily turn this country into a graveyard with so many citizens having compromised immune systems.

 

[MoonSong]

With so many other very serious systemic problems I could see this crisis completely crippling/collapsing the country.

The world is definitely changing forever. In individual countries but also geopolitically.

I think industry will become less centralized and less distributed. More goods will be fully produced in one place and sold regionally as opposed to the recent model of every part of the process being done in one country and the next in another, and the full product is then sold worldwide.

With some luck this will mean that in the future we will have an Latin American version of D&D done fully in - say - Argentina as opposed to the current model of a single translation done in Spain, but printed in China and finished in another country.