Azzy
ᚳᚣᚾᛖᚹᚢᛚᚠ (He/Him)
The problem is that the chance for a TPK shouldn't be that linear—it should cascafe. For each character dropped, the chance for another character to drop should increase beyond the chance for the initial character to drop.No. If each has a 50/50 chance of dropping, the odds of all 4 dropping are slim. I think the 6% number we were given is accurate.
Edit: Yeah. The probability of 4 heads in a row when flipping a coin is 1 in 16. So it's just under 6%.