Umm, brick and mortar stores have decreased significantly in the past twenty years.
It’s almost like demise means a different thing than decrease.
It's not that these industries will disappear. That's the thing. They won't disappear. But, we will see significant upheavals and it doesn't take everyone losing their jobs to do that. Again, there are still manufacturing jobs. Of course there are.
You gotta know that retail is still a huge industry.
If Amazon and EBay can’t kill autoparts retail (and they can’t, we had the best year in the last 60+ years during the lockdown, and we’ve just grown steadily since then, even in a recession), or hardware stores, and idk where you live but where I live a lot of stuff that took a hit in the 2000s is coming back as specialty work, then the end of meaningful work isn’t on the horizon.
AI is a lifetime away from being able to give trustworthy advice about literally anything. It can’t accurately diagnose people, pets, or vehicles, it can’t even use visual examination to figure out what part of a vehicle it’s looking at reliably, and none of these are on the horizon. Not even remotely. I doubt “AI” will be able to make truly reliably actionable judgment calls in the next 60 years.
These predictive algorithms are impressive like a grifter is impressive. They aren’t aware of anything. They don’t understand anything. They’re an advanced program for breaking down data objects into smaller data objects and recombining them based on probabilities learned through collected data, and that is all they are.
We are nowhere close to AI being able to replace real writers by any means other than plagiarism.
There are just a lot less of them today than there were thirty years ago.
And that’s good. The things we actually want humans to do, mostly service, specialty work, art, craftwork, and other things that can be done as hobbies or benefit strongly from direct communication with someone who understands the topic at hand.
The decrease in hand sewing as an industry doesn’t stop people from making clothes, blankets, etc. it just means that they don’t need to make a living off it for it to be considered worthwhile.