So that's a big loud "No" to my question?
No, I don't have hard numbers - but I don't think you do either. But it is really beside the point. Regardless of what the actual numbers are, older players (25+) still make up a significant percentage of purchasing, whether that is 25% or 55% of sales.
It also doesn't reflect my experience as an RPG buyer. I was never more completist, more keen to buy every book, than at that age group. Even if it pushed my finances kind of hard. I'm far less completionist now. I'm currently a lot better positioned to buy every single WotC D&D book as it comes out, but I don't. Why? Because both I'm far more financially responsible and sensible at 46 than I was at a younger age, and because I'm far less overexcited by RPG stuff (even though I care about it deeply) than I was at a younger age. I'm no longer a completionist.
Also "more product" over the industry as a whole is I think very different from "More stuff from WotC specifically".
Again, I'm not saying "more product" or "more WotC stuff." I
do think that older players buy the larger share of non-WotC stuff. I never see my students carrying around Free League stuff, though I see the occasional PHB (maybe it is different in other parts of the world). But again...there are larger points here, and I don't think getting too fixated on specifics is particularly valuable, especially when we don't have the data. Furthermore, this isn't a court of law, requiring evidence for every opinion. I don't think I need to provide documentation for expressing the view that grognards still buy a lot of RPG product, WotC or otherwise - and a significant enough amount to "matter."
And again, "matter" does not equate with "matter more" or "matter most."
Not really. It's actually quite fundamental, because the young people definitely wildly outnumber the grogs, your only logic for grogs mattering significantly is that the grogs wildly outspend them.
Did I say "wildly outspend them?"
Sure but we're what, 10%? 15% of sales? 20%? Without figures it's meaningless, and clearly even you agree that the vast majority of the market isn't grogs.
Because of the way your post is written, dude, it absolutely looks like that's what you're saying - that we spend more and thus matter disproportionately. You are not free from responsibility here!
Tell me what I wrote that gives you that implication, because I think that is a clear distortion. "Looks like" doesn't necessarily equate with what I actually wrote, especially the part "matter disproportionately." I never said such a thing.
Again, fixating on specifics is, imo, a distraction. My main point is that grognards (in the broad sense of the word) still matter, and yes, because they buy a lot of books. I don't think that's the only reason, but I was mostly making a rather innocuous statement that several posters took as some sort of manifesto for grognard entitlement. To me that points to the problem of tribalism that I have no interest in (partially because I eschew tribes!).
Now what I find interesting, even slightly disturbing, is how insistent some here are on negating the idea that grognards matter at all. Why is that?