Recent content by HarbingerX

While I agree that the quality of information provided by the Chinese government should be considered suspect, there is strong evidence support that they aren't lying about their numbers that much. China has a population of 1.5 billion which makes the number of potential cases staggering. If the...

I don't hear anything about african governments taking it seriously. So it will be too late by the time they react.

I fear for much of sub-saharan Africa. So far this virus has shown itself to be very good at transmission.

So today we had our first online session using Discord with an integrated dice rolling bot. It went relatively well but there was one player who couldn't figure out how to get his iPhone to allow DIscord to use his camera. It wouldn't show up in his security settings for camera. Also, since...

The big thing is how many acute care beds are available. I think the US is somewhere around 65000. So how many cases do you have to have before that capacity is filled? For some reason, the reported 'acute case' rate is not being reported for the US - it's been at 64 for well over a week now...

There's not really enough good data yet to be able to figure out how many undiagnosed cases there are. You'd have to have a region where it has completely run it's course. Here in Canada we knew we were in trouble when traveler returned from Las Vegas and tested positive, yet at the time Nevada...

Nature is Metal.

Regardless of the pattern, epidemiologists have been saying that long term this virus will be another childhood disease like chickenpox. This is why the WHO finally called it a pandemic - it's here to stay.

The title of this thread gets more ominous every day... :eek:

For those interested in how to interpret the numbers being reported. Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) – Statistics and Research

For everyone who's discussing the numbers and what they mean, here is an excellent research piece on how to interpret the data and challenges with coming up with things like death rates. Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) – Statistics and Research

I'm going to be running remote D&D for the first time on Friday, 3 in my house, 2 remote. I expect a mix of ipads and computers, plus roll20/discord. Really need to do a dry-run today or tomorrow to work out the kinks.

If only 1/2 the population isolates then it's not much better than no isolation. Stop doing models and posts - go get your supplies. ;)

This picture from Infection Trajectory: See Which Countries are Flattening Their COVID-19 Curve shows the risk for different events based on 2000 or 20000 cases in the general population.

I do actually agree with you stocking up now. In fact you should have stocked up last week. I was just answering the question as to why the risk of transmission is lower later when the population is self isolating. I also agree that 2 weeks is on the lower end. As long as there are people not...