Zardnaar
Legend
A few mentions of 6E have been made with some posters stating that 5E is an evergreen edition etc.
If you believe that I have a bridge to sell you in Brooklyn. I woudnt take the designers quotes to literally but it does indicate that they want a long run for 5E.
Eventually 5E will hit saturation point. What I mean by that is they will hit a point if declining sales. Broadly speaking everyone who wants a phb has one. After that you will have a decking amount of sales.
Now the first time this happens on eBay I bet people will be chicken little in the forums.
I wouldn't worry unless it happens two years in a row or three.
Eventually this will happen or the new shiny feeling wears off or whatever. Might take 8, 10 or 13 years.
Another hint is splat books with all sorts if experimental, odd and new subsystems.
Anyway expect 6E about 2 years after they get 2 or 3 years of declining sales.
We're not there yet, even if 2019 is less than 2018 well probably know next year.
Sometime in the next 2-3 years I would not be surprised if that happens. 5E will be 10 years old in 2014.
So the absolute earliest would be 2022 or 2023 assuming 2019 and 2020 have decking sales. I don't think we're there yet so would put 2022/23 into the I would be surprised basket.
2024 would be the earliest I would expect to see 6E give or take a year. I don't expect 2013 but it's not to far out there.
2024/25 is roughly my expectation. Would not be overly surprised 2026/2027.
Anything past that date would I would be surprised. Note that would be a 13 year cycle. No D&D has lasted that long with the exception of BECMI and that wasn't in continuous production and had very limited support.
The only thing we can really predict IMHO is the next few years. People move on, CEOs change, recessions happen.
If you believe that I have a bridge to sell you in Brooklyn. I woudnt take the designers quotes to literally but it does indicate that they want a long run for 5E.
Eventually 5E will hit saturation point. What I mean by that is they will hit a point if declining sales. Broadly speaking everyone who wants a phb has one. After that you will have a decking amount of sales.
Now the first time this happens on eBay I bet people will be chicken little in the forums.
I wouldn't worry unless it happens two years in a row or three.
Eventually this will happen or the new shiny feeling wears off or whatever. Might take 8, 10 or 13 years.
Another hint is splat books with all sorts if experimental, odd and new subsystems.
Anyway expect 6E about 2 years after they get 2 or 3 years of declining sales.
We're not there yet, even if 2019 is less than 2018 well probably know next year.
Sometime in the next 2-3 years I would not be surprised if that happens. 5E will be 10 years old in 2014.
So the absolute earliest would be 2022 or 2023 assuming 2019 and 2020 have decking sales. I don't think we're there yet so would put 2022/23 into the I would be surprised basket.
2024 would be the earliest I would expect to see 6E give or take a year. I don't expect 2013 but it's not to far out there.
2024/25 is roughly my expectation. Would not be overly surprised 2026/2027.
Anything past that date would I would be surprised. Note that would be a 13 year cycle. No D&D has lasted that long with the exception of BECMI and that wasn't in continuous production and had very limited support.
The only thing we can really predict IMHO is the next few years. People move on, CEOs change, recessions happen.