pogre said:The number of hardcore players is increasing, but the number of casual players is slowly going down.
I have a friend who runs an import business who used to bring in tons of poker chips, poker tables, and other knick-knacks - I got my information from him.
It seems to me that chips, tables, and other knick-knacks are more likely to sell to hardcore players, the casual player is the one who goes to the local casino/cardroom/etc. every now and then. By all accounts the latter group is booming, the former could well be saturated as there's only so many chips or tables a given player can use. To extend the D&D analogy, the stuff your friend imports is the equivalent of DM-focused supplements in D&D, and there isn't an exact analogue to player-focused products. Well, except for online poker with products like PokerOffice and PokerTracker, but the online world is a whole different kettle of (ahem) fish with the recent legislation in the US.
IMHO, the real sign that the poker craze is over will be when casinos start to shrink their poker rooms, which in and of themselves are considerably less profitable than devoting the same floorspace to slot machines and house games. That hasn't happened yet because poker is still a good draw, pulling traffic into the casino that otherwise wouldn't be there.