D&D General D&D Beyond's Users Online Over Last Year

[Morrus]

As critical as I am of D&D 5e, this doesn't tell us anything.

It tells you DDB’s users over time.

If you wanted it to tell you something else, that’s on you.

 

[Morrus]

So around 2,000 users out of 20 million?

At a time.

20M users don’t spend 24/7 on DDB. That would be insane.

 

[AnotherGuy]

At a time.

20M users don’t spend 24/7 on DDB. That would be insane.

Ah okay (in any given 15 minutes). Thanks!

 

[John Lloyd1]

I checked using the app and it doesn't seem to update the last active time.

I'm not sure what the chart means by Weekly Average Users. Maybe it is a rolling average? It seems too fine grained for averaging a week at a time.

 

[mamba]

As critical as I am of D&D 5e, this doesn't tell us anything.

nothing definitive, we will need a longer timeframe for that

it looks like numbers have declined from around 2200-2300 down to around 2000. That's a drop, to be sure, on the order of 10%-15%...but if this is supposed to be "the sky is falling", I don't buy it.

not sure anyone said it was falling, only that this is not trending in the right direction for WotC

And that, IMO, reflects pretty much what I was already expecting. 5.5e, like all "revised" editions, would provide a short-term bump.

looks like it did not even do that though

 

[mamba]

So around 2,000 users out of 20 million?

on average at any given time, not total per day

 

[bedir than]

The graph shows the average number of registered users online in any given 15 minutes each week

It's averaged. At 3am there were very few people. Now is peak time of the day. It's average number of people online over an entire week, not peak number of people online.

These are two different statements.
For data to matter an understanding of the collection method is vital.
I never suggested that the random two moments I checked were peak usage, which would be a silly thing to suggest since I had no references at all.

 

[Autumnal]

I can’t be the only one who looked at it and just thought, hey, neat, thanks to @Morrus and his friend, that’s a nice tough look at overall site usage in that span of time.

 

[EzekielRaiden]

It tells you DDB’s users over time.

If you wanted it to tell you something else, that’s on you.

I mean it was very clear from the first like three or four posts that people were concluding "5.5e has failed to do its job, people are abandoning the game" and other such. Some see that as doom-and-gloom. Others see it as something to celebrate. Still others couldn't care less. But it was quite clear from the context that that's the immediate conclusion several people drew from this. My argument is against such conclusions, because the data simply doesn't support it.

 

[EzekielRaiden]

nothing definitive, we will need a longer timeframe for that


not sure anyone said it was falling, only that this is not trending in the right direction for WotC


looks like it did not even do that though

I mean it literally did. We can, quite clearly, see a massive bump. That means people had to subscribe, at least for a time. Given the HUGE gap immediately after the spike--and missing the 5.5e DMG spike to boot!--I genuinely don't think anything meaningful can be concluded from this at all. "Not trending in WotC's desired direction" is borderline meaningless.