I maintain that if 4e was published with Essential's out the gate, it would have sold better. At least adding those options to the PHB alongside the traditional would have eased some pain points.
5e did launch with simple classes and was by far the worst D&D launch year of any Wotc Edition, so no not likely.
I know people who did not understand 4e like to make fun of how it "failed". But forget to mention that the 4e sales goal was 50 million increasing to 100 million (of which it failed the 2nd part)
While the 5e sales goal was "sell more than in the year before, where we did not launch any new D&D product". So yes 5e succeeded in doing that with its lousy 29.4 million in the first year and second year. But was still the worst launch of a wotc D&D edition. (Unless you count essentials the "relaunch" of 4e with the simple classes which people HATED. Which was a disaster.)
Only after critical role and stranger things sales went up.
So if people talk about "4e was dead after 2 years" then 5e was at least as dead at that point, only difference was thst no one started to panic.
I know in the past we did not have the data and had to believe the WotC marketing, but now we have. So we should stop spreading misinformation.

