Man in the Funny Hat said:
Here we come to how I think these can be provided to me as I need them. First, stamp the minis to be purchased with something like "NOT FOR USE WITH DDM" such that the exact same sculpts and whatever can be used and re-used but for DDM formal play they are USELESS. Second, cut out the middle-men. If these miniatures are available direct from a factory, or WotC warehouse facility then the entire question of what the distrubutors and retailers can or will accomodate is moot. It's a harsh reality but it sure seems to be a sticking point. In this day and age there is no sensible business reason to keep them in the loop. Not when they are such a stumbling block to finding a new/better means of profitability and are so easily avoided. A web page can be easily set up to provide clear, rotating views of every miniature. Hell, they do that now with the galleries for the DDM sets. I then place the order for what I need and WotC packs them up and ships them DIRECT to me. Not to a distrubutor who then ships to dozens of retailers. And altogether avoiding an AFTERMARKET influence on pricing and availability.
Obviously, the more minis I order at any one time the less I pay for shipping costs on any given mini. Just as obviously, with direct shipping from the manufacturer much more of the retail price is kept by the manufacturer. Perhaps even enough to LOWER the price of the minis a bit. The minis to be made available this way can then be chosen in whatever fashion WotC cares to use in order to ensure consistent sales.
Hell, they could put up a "wishlist" web page to ensure a minimum of sales. They choose a mini they think will sell and put it up on the page. Everyone who likes it and anticipates buying it adds their email address to a list for that mini. Once enough people have signed up to potentially buy it the mini is formally added to the list of directly available minis and an email is sent to all those who singed up enabling them to immediately purchase it or add it to their next order. Meanwhile, the regular DDM market and aftermarket goes about its business with the possible advantage that it is now LESS influenced in its pricing by interference from RPG interests.
Can someone tell me why, given perhaps some relatively minor changes in details, this wouldn't work?
I certainly see this as the best way to get that Gelatinous Cube I still want.
Get rid of the distributors? Then the whole shipping, warehousing, selling, billing, and collections falls on WOTC directly (that's a lot of overhead they don’t have right now), so you won't really save anything but perhaps the percentage that the distributor and retailers took as profit. Also I am pretty certain that a major price determinant for WOTC’s minis is the discount they receive from the factory for their large production runs..
Let me give you an example, back ~2002 for an electronics show we needed a plastic/foam 3D detailed model of a product (6"x6"x6") my company designed. Not including engineering, artist, Autocad time, mockups, etc. time and money; if we bought 500 units it cost $9.75 each (2 colors only to save on cost); if we bought $1000 it cost $9.50; and if we bought 5000 $8.75 each, etc. Of course there even more costs later, as this does not even cover the $400 it cost to ship it here and then the cost within the US to move and store them around until we eventually got rid of them.
Produce-on-the-demand, is not really viable in my opinion, the costs per unit would be very high. You might be thinking about a company like protomold that makes custom plastic parts over a few business days, but the last time I checked they were still doing only single color plastics only. Then the quick startup costs were like $2K - $3k per model!
What will happen is that pricing will be all over the place, even if the minis size is the same. Small production runs of minis will have significantly higher costs than large production runs minis. Eventually only the most popular models would be produced. As it wouldn't take long for WOTC's warehouse to overfill with minis that sell slowing or not all because of the high retail price. (I have seen this already in gaming shops with old Reaper & Ral Partha minis on the shelves for years....). Oh I am sure that eventually WOTC would reduce the price of the non-selling ones to get rid of them in their warehouse, but they would not reproduce those models; as obviously the costs would exceed the price people are willing to pay for them.
Another thing to consider is that impulse and bulk sales would also disappear. Many in my group buy them by the case. I know other people that when they go to Borders or B&N and see DDM boxes on the shelf they buy one or two. Not only will WOTC lose exposure for their products across the whole retail level, but will lose all the sales (impulse or otherwise) across the whole retail market as well. Sales will be significantly smaller on website-only business approach. Putting further pressure to make production runs even smaller, as only the people that go online to purchase would ever see it.
The wish list would likely not work as well, too many opinions among us gamers. given mini x (race, class, weapons, gender, pose, and other details), player A will only buy if it has y weapon, player B will only buy if it is a female with z weapon, etc. Here is the price of a limited run plastic multi-color mini (size large I believe)
http://paizo.com/store/paizoExclusives/v5748btpy7pol&source=top $14.95. Outside dragon/dungeon subscribes, who can purchase it for $9.99; I wonder how many Paizo has sold at $14.95?
So how much are you willing to spend on your Gelatinous Cube? (14.95?)
Right now WOTC price is $14.95 for 8 minis, which comes out to be about 1.86 per mini. Right now you can go to
Reaper and purchase medium size individual minis (unpainted) for $3.99.
You know WOTC been producing DDM for what, about 3 years now? And many, many people have complained and asked that WOTC produce non-random mini sets. It really surprises me that a 3rd party gaming company has not jumped in to fill the void. Obviously Reaper can't or is not willing to give people what they want, pre-painted cheap minis. If the potential for a good business model is there, why hasn't a third party entered the market to fill the void?