http://www.enworld.org/forum/5492657-post279.htmlAnd the matter of the argument is not whether it could be another company if not Paizo as you try to spin it. The matter is that with the OGL around it has been proven to be relatively easy for something like Pathfinder to happen to someone like Wotc.
A few points:
(1) The OGL is designed to funnel support from a wide diversity of producers to the game system at the top of the food chain. As a business strategy, this is only effective as long as you continue producing that game system... which WotC didn't do.
(2) Which is not to say that WotC couldn't update and improve that game system. 3.5 is the proof of that: They updated from 3.0 and yet the OGL-created network of producers continued to support them. Their first mistake with 4th Edition was making what was essentially a completely new fantasy roleplaying game, which meant that they were simultaneously (a) abandoning the advantages of the network of support they had built for themselves and (b) leaving a void at the top of that network's food chain that could be filled.
(3) Despite the radical change in the game system, they probably would have still made it work if they had continued supporting the OGL with 4th Edition. The network of support would have likely made the transition with them.
(4) They
might have even made it work with something like the GSL (OGL-like support that had a built-in cyanide pill where they could cancel the license at any time), which would have allowed them a more graceful exit from the OGL-era. Notably, Piazo
wanted to support 4th Edition. It was only when WotC completely bungled the licensing process that they started looking for a different solution. This was WotC's second huge mistake.
This is not a case of the OGL being a flawed business strategy. This is a case of WotC's new business strategy being inferior to their old business strategy combined with a complete botching of the transition between the two.
tl;dr: WotC could have gotten away with abandoning the OGL or they could have gotten away with publishing an entirely new fantasy RPG. They couldn't get away with doing both simultaneously.