Say what you will about any of the teams that are in right now, but here's how things have looked over the last 2-4 weeks...
NFC
I admit some bias here, but if you take away the 3 Barber fumbles and the refs making 2 bogus calls on TD's, they beat the Eagles hands down and the game isn't even that close. They clearly outplayed Philly. I'm not complaining about the 2 TD's being called back because the Giants got 2 breaks (1 from Akers missing a FG and one on the OT interception as there was Giants holding on the play) to even it out.
If the Eagles do not have McNabb healthy they can make it to, but will not win, the Super Bowl. The Giants are the hottest team right now (see their thrashing of Indy 2 weeks ago). They will be underdogs on the road against the Niners but they already shut down Owens once this season the San Fran's defense hasn't been there all year.
Green Bay needed home field. They don't have it but should still beat Vick and Atlana for round one. They should be going home after that unless Driver is healthy. Tampa needs Brad Johnson just as badly as Philly needs McNabb. Without him they could make it to the Conference finals, but you need some offense to make it to the Super Bowl.
All things said (I am a Giants fan so I hate to admit it), the team to beat is Philly: Home field, solid D and great coach.
AFC
The crazy, crazy AFC. I'm gonna do this shotgun style since I am more of an NFC guy.
- The hot teams: Jets and Titans.
- Jets over Indy unless Indy can get some turnovers and find a running game.
- Steelers/Browns - I have no idea as have only seen a few games of each team this year.
- Everyone seems to like the Raiders with Gannon and company. They will be the favorites at home but I can see them getting knocked off by a team like the Jets. Also, if the Titans get George and Kerse heathly they will go far.
- Since I think there is no team like Philly in the AFC I'll go with history and say the road to the Super Bowl goes through Oakland because of home field, veterans and a solid overall team on both sides of the ball.
Super Bowl
I dare not make Super Bowl predictions because I will be cheering for the G-men to go all the way....
EDIT: Did anyone else find it funny to hear the Jets fans chanting: P-A-T-S, Pats Pats Pats!!

It would be great to see and all-NY Super Bowl....