Theories/Opinions on WotC's Plan

Let's see...last year when WotC didn't renew the Ravenloft license, we got Expedition to Castle Ravenloft out of it.

This year, we've got a Dragonlance movie slated to come out.

As just a guess on my part, I think we'll probably see some WotC-produced Dragonlance product to coincide with the release of the movie. It's only a direct to video release, but it's still something that can probably sell some books.
 

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Vlad Le Démon said:
[...continuing from my post in the Now Dragonlance as Well topic]
1. Hasbro is going to free WotC.
2. WotC and all is brands will move on Second Life. No more MtG or D&D in the real life...but only in second life...The Digital Initiative is the code name for this operation.

I pray God that isn't the case.

A week ago I would have told you "naahh... they wouldn't do that..." but now, with all that has happened, I wouldn't be surprised by anything on WotC's part anymore.
 

This year, we've got a Dragonlance movie slated to come out.

As Hasbro owns WotC - I think this is probably the REAL reason for yoinking the Dragonlance license.

Movies are a HUGE investment. Many don't actually make any real $$. We cannot forget that the fantasy genre spawned the likes of Final Fantasy and Lord of the Rings. From a strategic business perspective, I can see WOTC wanting to call all of its "storyline connected" product home.

As far as 4e - it won't even reach the development phase until at least 2020. WotC, in releasing 3e all but bet the entire COMPANY on that product line making a profit, including Magic The Gathering. You don't print millions of copies and spend all of those advertising dollars on 3 separate hardbacks lightly. There is no way we are going to see them take that kind of business risk unless they feel they have to do something to save their entire outfit.

As far as "Rules books" go - there are only 6 generic "kinds" I would think that make money.

1. The PHB
2. The DMG
3. Mosnter Manuals (maybe 1 per year)
4. Spell Compendium (maybe 1 per year)
5. Magic Item Compendium (maybe 1 per year)
6. Epic Handbook

In the case of items 1 and 2, half of each book is devoted to lists of spells and magic items, respectively. Accordingly, you could sell an "advanced" PHB and a DMG... but not much more than this.

What I would really like to see is WOTC sales data and the customer feedback that actually shows up to the WOTC marketing guys. I don't think we see the "Complete X" or "Races of X" books truly selling like hotcakes. If there isn't enough profit margin gained by investing the resources you need to print those books, you might want to move that kind of product into an online format.

I think we are going to see a move to an online subscription service for "module" based adventures - but not much else.
 

Gerion of Mercadia said:
I don't think we see the "Complete X" or "Races of X" books truly selling like hotcakes.
At least 1-2 various Complete books consistently sit near the top of the Amazon Top 100 Gaming Sellers list. Currently, it's Complete Mage (#10), Complete Adventurer (#16), Complete Scoundrel (#19), Complete Arcane (#21), Complete Champion (#27), Complete Divine (#30), Complete Warrior (#32), and Complete Psionic (#70).

The Races books don't seem to have performed as well in the long run, though they did really well initially, iirc.

What sells big time are the core books (including PHB2 and DMG2) and the compendia. Spell Compendium is at #4 today, and has been in the top 10 or so since its release. Magic Item Compendium is currently at #1, ahead of the new Star Wars RPG.
 


My big theory lately is that WotC is gathering back in all it's scattered licenses as best as they can in an effort to present the most attractive package possible to a potential buyer. I think D&D might well be going on the market soon.
 


Hobo said:
My big theory lately is that WotC is gathering back in all it's scattered licenses as best as they can in an effort to present the most attractive package possible to a potential buyer. I think D&D might well be going on the market soon.


That's a very real possibility that I hadn't thought of.

Don't know how I feel about that...... :uhoh:
 

D&D might be going on the market, or they might just be getting ready to re-negotiate those licenses -- this is my guess as to their Dragonlance strategy. They don't mind licensing it, they just don't want to accidentally add value for free. :)

-- N
 

Hobo said:
My big theory lately is that WotC is gathering back in all it's scattered licenses as best as they can in an effort to present the most attractive package possible to a potential buyer. I think D&D might well be going on the market soon.
This sounds a lot more plausible than the non-OGL 4e theory.

I have an easier time believing this is just orders from on-high to maximize revenue, though. MtG alone guarantees WotC a safe place at Hasbro, I'd think.

Unless they're looking to be bought, which is just insane.
 

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